Stock fact sheet · data as of
abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund, Inc. (AEF): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Asset Management - Income · United States · High Yield Income
Is AEF undervalued?
AEF has a margin of safety of 91%: the stock closed at 8.66 on 16 Oct 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 99.29. 6 of the 8 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our screens treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
The 8 models disagree widely: 10 Cap gives 0.5809 while GLS Growth gives 295.41. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files AEF under High Yield Income: a dividend yield above 4%.
Nine valuation models for AEF
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 34.02 | +293% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 276.01 | +3087% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 120.63 | +1293% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 295.41 | +3311% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 0.5809 | -93% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 1.15 | -87% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 12.95 | +50% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 53.61 | +519% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -0.8744 | -110% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - AEF passes 6 of the nine Piotroski tests, which passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 4.7 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 28.4%, ROE 30.8%, ROA 27.5% - with debt at 0.09 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 0.3%.
The dividend yield is high at 10.16% (payout ratio 16%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual.
Institutional ownership scores 6/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 28.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 4.7 / 10 | ROE | 30.8% |
| Debt / equity | 0.09 | ROA | 27.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 0.3% | Payout ratio | 16% |
| Institutions | 6 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
AEF has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (39 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 75k shares a day on a market cap of $352M, with a beta of 1.07; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 91% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 7 / 15 | moat 4.7/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 75k shares/day, $352M cap, beta 1.07 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for AEF in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Asset Management - Income
The 12 companies below are the closest to abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund, Inc. by market cap within the Asset Management - Income industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAD Wells Fargo Advantage Funds - Allspring Income Opportunities Fund | 5.96 | 20.48 | +71% | 39No options | $352M |
| LEO BNY Mellon Strategic Municipals, Inc. | 5.60 | 4.48 | -25% | 27No options | $349M |
| HFRO Highland Opportunities and Income Fund | 6.24 | 18.70 | +67% | 39No options | $345M |
| HPI John Hancock Preferred Income Fund | 13.45 | 24.61 | +45% | 39No options | $360M |
| VKI Invesco Advantage Municipal Income Trust II | 7.71 | 7.29 | -6% | 37No options | $342M |
| SCD LMP Capital and Income Fund Inc. | 14.84 | 40.99 | +64% | 39No options | $341M |
| FSAHX Fidelity Short Duration High Income Fund | 8.73 | 9.61 | +9% | 39No options | $364M |
| NCV Virtus Convertible & Income Fund | 15.02 | 127.39 | +88% | 39No options | $339M |
| NOIEX Northern Funds Income Equity Fund | 20.91 | 112.51 | +81% | 39No options | $334M |
| HPS John Hancock Preferred Income Fund III | 11.69 | 20.01 | +42% | 39No options | $375M |
| EVN Eaton Vance Municipal Income Trust | 9.51 | 16.51 | +42% | 39No options | $380M |
| DRAY YieldMax DKNG Option Income Strategy ETF | 11.31 | 39.62 | +71% | 31No options | $325M |
⚖ Compare AEF with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about AEF
Is AEF undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 8.66 the stock is 91% below the average fair value of 99.29 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of AEF and what does it mean?
AEF has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for AEF?
99.29 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund, Inc. report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for AEF in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does AEF have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on AEF, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.