Stock fact sheet · data as of
Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol ALRS · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · United States · Blend
Is ALRS undervalued?
At 34.83 (close of 5 Nov 2026), ALRS trades 39% over the GLS average fair value of 25.06, with 2 of 9 models above the price. The stock earns none of the Wheel Score's Value points at this price. That is a statement about price against trailing fundamentals, not about the company's prospects - the Wall Street View and the Growth tab on the Quote page carry the forward numbers.
The 9 models disagree widely: GLS Growth gives 3.53 while 10 Cap gives 81.96. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
Ranked against every other company we cover, neither cheapness nor growth clearly wins for ALRS, so the nightly engine files it under Blend (value score 33, growth score 17, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for ALRS
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 6.81 | -80% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 25.10 | -28% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 19.47 | -44% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 4.83 | -86% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 3.53 | -90% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 81.96 | +135% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 57.81 | +66% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 12.65 | -64% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 13.41 | -62% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -183.58 | -627% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 37.00 | +6% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health ALRS scores 7/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is 5.5 out of 10: a record that is solid on some of the four parts the score weighs (returns on capital, pricing power, lasting growth, balance sheet) and weaker on others.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 1.7%, ROE 3.1%, ROA 0.3% - with debt at 0.78 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 11.5%.
The dividend yield is 2.47% at a payout ratio of 70%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Retirement and Benefit Services 59%, Wealth Management 26%, Mortgage Banking 11% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 8/10, insider activity 8/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 1 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 1.7% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.5 / 10 | ROE | 3.1% |
| Debt / equity | 0.78 | ROA | 0.3% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 11.5% | Payout ratio | 70% |
| Institutions | 8 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 8 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 38: Weak
ALRS scores 38 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Weak band (under 50): it fails filter 1, options that actually trade - options too quiet (563 open interest, 269 a day); and filter 3, below fair value - trades 39% above our fair value; and filter 8, big enough - market cap $868M (under $1.0B), and the parts are thin too - value weak, premium strong, moat fair, health good, red flags strong, option trading weak, stability fair. The score is not a judgement on the company; it says the price, quality and premium do not line up for selling puts on it today.
Implied volatility is 40% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% sweet spot the Wheel Score rewards most: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is thin - 563 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 171k shares a day on a market cap of $868M, with a beta of 0.69 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | options too quiet (563 open interest, 269 a day) |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Fails | trades 39% above our fair value |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Fails | market cap $868M (under $1.0B) |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Weak | 39% above fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 40% | |
| Moat | Fair | moat 5.5/10 | |
| Health | Good | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Red Flags | Strong | Red Flags score 100/100 | |
| Option trading | Weak | 269 contracts a day, 563 open interest | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 0.69, $868M company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 27 Jan 2027, 83 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today.
No analyst upgrades or downgrades were recorded in the last 30 days.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to Alerus Financial Corporation by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCBC River City Bank | 60.38 | 100.30 | +40% | 34No options | $857M |
| CCBG Capital City Bank Group, Inc. | 51.80 | 44.91 | -15% | 39Weak | $887M |
| FCBC First Community Bankshares, Inc. | 46.87 | 49.31 | +5% | 35Weak | $887M |
| MPB Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. | 35.03 | 46.59 | +25% | 47Weak | $887M |
| SMBK SmartFinancial, Inc. | 49.53 | 58.29 | +15% | 44Weak | $847M |
| ORRF Orrstown Financial Services, Inc. | 45.27 | 75.04 | +40% | 49Weak | $890M |
| PGC Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation | 47.35 | 73.30 | +35% | 52Fair | $839M |
| GSBC Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. | 82.78 | 60.82 | -36% | 28Weak | $902M |
| SPFI South Plains Financial, Inc. | 43.94 | 53.50 | +18% | 48Weak | $828M |
| IBCP Independent Bank Corporation | 37.25 | 39.42 | +5% | 38Weak | $823M |
| NBBK NB Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock | 22.72 | 67.32 | +66% | 50Fair | $928M |
| HBIA Hills Bancorporation | 46.60 | 20.37 | -129% | 25No options | $813M |
⚖ Compare ALRS with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about ALRS
Is ALRS undervalued right now?
No: at 34.83 the stock trades 39% above the GLS average fair value of 25.06 (data as of 5 Nov 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of ALRS and what does it mean?
ALRS scores 38 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filters 1, 3, 8. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for ALRS?
25.06 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Alerus Financial Corporation report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 27 Jan 2027, 83 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does ALRS have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 36 listed contracts with 563 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 40% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.