Stock fact sheet · data as of
BGM Group Ltd. (BGM): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · China · Speculative / Distressed
Is BGM undervalued?
BGM closed at 8.59 on 16 Oct 2026, which is 26% above the GLS average fair value of 6.82 from 1 models. 1 of them value the shares below today's price. Our screens read that as "no margin of safety": the stock is not a value candidate at this price, whatever the quality numbers say.
Only 1 of the nine models produced a value (10 Cap); the others need a dividend, positive free cash flow or positive book value the company does not have yet, so the average rests on a narrow base.
The nightly engine files BGM under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for BGM
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 6.82 | -21% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 0.7779 | -91% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: BGM passes 0 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is low at 1.0 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -5.1%, ROE -5.1%, ROA -4.6% - with debt at 0.00 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 1.3%.
BGM Group Ltd. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain.
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 0 / 9 | ROIC | -5.1% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.0 / 10 | ROE | -5.1% |
| Debt / equity | 0.00 | ROA | -4.6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 1.3% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 7: No options
BGM has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (7 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 1k shares a day on a market cap of $109M, with a beta of 1.87 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 4 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 2 / 25 | -26% margin of safety | |
| Health | 0 / 20 | Piotroski 0/9 | |
| Moat | 2 / 15 | moat 1.0/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 4 / 20 | 1k shares/day, $109M cap, beta 1.87 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for BGM in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
The 12 companies below are the closest to BGM Group Ltd. by market cap within the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPIX Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. | 7.54 | 22.07 | +66% | 45Weak | $113M |
| OGI Organigram Global Inc. | 0.9316 | 13.02 | +93% | 55Fair | $131M |
| CRDL Cardiol Therapeutics Inc. | 1.15 | 0.1478 | -678% | 21Weak | $139M |
| ORGO Organogenesis Holdings Inc. | 1.11 | 4.16 | +73% | 45Weak | $143M |
| AAWH Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. | 0.4050 | 4.17 | +90% | 39No options | $82M |
| DERM Journey Medical Corporation | 5.13 | - | - | 37Weak | $145M |
| ZYBT Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited | 1.53 | 10.85 | +86% | 36No options | $73M |
| INCR InterCure Ltd. | 4.65 | 6.18 | +25% | 45Weak | $55M |
| TLPH Talphera, Inc. | 1.06 | - | - | 32Weak | $55M |
| SIGA SIGA Technologies, Inc. | 3.10 | 8.72 | +64% | 45Weak | $223M |
| LFCR Lifecore Biomedical, Inc. | 6.44 | - | - | 45Weak | $244M |
| ACB Aurora Cannabis Inc. | 4.10 | - | - | 45Weak | $260M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about BGM
Is BGM undervalued right now?
No: at 8.59 the stock trades 26% above the GLS average fair value of 6.82 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). The margin of safety is negative.
What is the Wheel Score of BGM and what does it mean?
BGM has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for BGM?
6.82 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 1 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does BGM Group Ltd. report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for BGM in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does BGM have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on BGM, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.