Stock fact sheet · data as of
Cadre Holdings, Inc. (CDRE): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · United States · Blend
Is CDRE undervalued?
Cadre Holdings, Inc. (CDRE) closed at 25.92 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 9 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 31.48, so the price sits 18% below it. 4 of the 9 models value the shares above the current price. A margin of safety between 10% and 30% is where most of the Sunday Scan candidates come from.
The 9 models disagree widely: DDM gives 5.81 while Payback Time gives 72.26. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files CDRE under Blend.
Nine valuation models for CDRE
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 17.22 | -34% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 12.39 | -52% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 48.18 | +86% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 21.06 | -19% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 51.57 | +99% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 45.50 | +76% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 72.26 | +179% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 5.81 | -78% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 9.36 | -64% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -2.02 | -108% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 42.00 | +62% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - CDRE passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 4.6 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 6.8%, ROE 13.9%, ROA 5.7% - with debt at 1.03 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 7.0%.
The dividend yield is 1.52% at a payout ratio of 45%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Product. 88%, Distribution Services 13% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 4/10 and Congressional trading 10/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 6.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 4.6 / 10 | ROE | 13.9% |
| Debt / equity | 1.03 | ROA | 5.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 7.0% | Payout ratio | 45% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 4 · 10 / 10 |
Wheel Score 67: Good
CDRE scores 67 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Good band, 65-79). The score blends the margin of safety (Value, 20/25), Piotroski health (11/20), the GLS moat (7/15), the option premium on offer (17/20) and how easily the stock trades (12/20). Moat (7/15) is the part holding the score back.
Implied volatility is 74% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (17 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is thin - 1,090 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 514k shares a day on a market cap of $1.1B, with a beta of 1.32 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 12 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 20 / 25 | 18% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 7 / 15 | moat 4.6/10 | |
| Premium | 17 / 20 | implied volatility 74% | |
| Stability | 12 / 20 | 514k shares/day, $1.1B cap, beta 1.32 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 3 Nov 2026, 18 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Aerospace & Defense
The 12 companies below are the closest to Cadre Holdings, Inc. by market cap within the Aerospace & Defense industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NPK National Presto Industries, Inc. | 147.35 | 76.46 | -93% | 28No options | $1.1B |
| HAWK HawkEye 360, Inc. | 12.89 | - | - | 45Weak | $1.3B |
| AVEX Aevex Corp. | 15.19 | 12.43 | -22% | 35Weak | $858M |
| YSS York Space Systems, Inc. | 5.95 | - | - | 41Weak | $817M |
| VOYG Voyager Technologies, Inc. | 25.82 | - | - | 43Weak | $1.6B |
| RCAT Red Cat Holdings, Inc. | 4.73 | - | - | 45Weak | $722M |
| RGR Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. | 43.00 | 26.88 | -60% | 54Fair | $687M |
| SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. | 14.18 | 16.66 | +15% | 70Good | $634M |
| AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. | 11.35 | - | - | 45Weak | $2.0B |
| ELMT Elmet Group Co. | 19.49 | 5.01 | -289% | 29No options | $594M |
| SATL Satellogic Inc. | 4.13 | - | - | 45Weak | $591M |
| EVEX Eve Holding, Inc. | 1.67 | - | - | 38Weak | $582M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about CDRE
Is CDRE undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 25.92 the stock trades 18% below the average fair value of 31.48 (data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of CDRE and what does it mean?
CDRE scores 67 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for CDRE?
31.48 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Cadre Holdings, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 3 Nov 2026, 18 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does CDRE have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 80 listed contracts with 1,090 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 74% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.