Stock fact sheet · data as of
Commercial National Financial Corporation (CEFC): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Banks - Regional · United States · Defensive
Is CEFC undervalued?
Commercial National Financial Corporation (CEFC) closed at 15.71 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 9 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 20.04, so the price sits 22% below it. 6 of the 9 models value the shares above the current price. A margin of safety between 10% and 30% is where most of the Sunday Scan candidates come from.
There is a wide gap between GLS Growth (0.7433) and 10 Cap (39.61). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files CEFC under Defensive: a low beta, a dividend and positive earnings.
Nine valuation models for CEFC
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 25.75 | +64% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 24.12 | +54% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 28.56 | +82% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 7.08 | -55% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 0.7433 | -95% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 39.61 | +152% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 26.16 | +67% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 8.68 | -45% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 19.67 | +25% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -111.10 | -807% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Commercial National Financial Corporation scores only 4 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. On durability CEFC scores 5.3/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 8.3%, ROE 11.7%, ROA 1.2% - with debt at 0.41 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The dividend yield is 3.76% at a payout ratio of 0%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold.
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 4 / 9 | ROIC | 8.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.3 / 10 | ROE | 11.7% |
| Debt / equity | 0.41 | ROA | 1.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 0.0% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
No options are listed on Commercial National Financial Corporation in our nightly snapshot. The Wheel Score is therefore capped at 39 (it reads 39) and the stock is left out of every options screen; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at 1k shares a day on a market cap of $62M, with a beta of 0.45 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 22 / 25 | 22% margin of safety | |
| Health | 9 / 20 | Piotroski 4/9 | |
| Moat | 8 / 15 | moat 5.3/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 1k shares/day, $62M cap, beta 0.45 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for CEFC in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to Commercial National Financial Corporation by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBWC IBW Financial Corporation | 97.00 | 25.36 | -283% | 12No options | $63M |
| HBSI Highlands Bankshares, Inc. | 47.00 | 78.91 | +40% | 39No options | $62M |
| STBI Sturgis Bancorp, Inc. | 28.94 | 63.28 | +54% | 39No options | $63M |
| BAOB The Baraboo Bancorporation, Inc. | 6.99 | 8.52 | +18% | 39No options | $62M |
| MBKL MBT Bancshares, Inc. | 30.00 | 88.09 | +66% | 39No options | $61M |
| FMFG Farmers and Merchants Bancshares, Inc. | 18.60 | 23.10 | +19% | 39No options | $61M |
| NEFBP Neffs Bancorp, Inc. PFD SER A | 400.00 | 199.67 | -100% | 14No options | $61M |
| LSFG Lifestore Financial Group, Inc. | 58.65 | 90.03 | +35% | 39No options | $60M |
| RWCB Redwood Capital Bancorp | 34.61 | 37.73 | +8% | 39No options | $65M |
| FFBW FFBW, Inc. | 15.83 | 15.91 | +0% | 39No options | $65M |
| NTBP New Tripoli Bancorp, Inc. | 950.00 | 653.74 | -45% | 13No options | $60M |
| PGNN Paragon Financial Solutions, Inc. | 14.15 | 48.31 | +71% | 39No options | $65M |
⚖ Compare CEFC with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about CEFC
Is CEFC undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 15.71 the stock trades 22% below the average fair value of 20.04 (data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of CEFC and what does it mean?
CEFC has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for CEFC?
20.04 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Commercial National Financial Corporation report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for CEFC in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does CEFC have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on CEFC, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.