Stock fact sheet · data as of
Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol CFFN · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · United States · Blend Income
Is CFFN undervalued?
At 8.78 (close of 5 Nov 2026), CFFN trades 49% below the GLS average fair value of 17.07. That average comes from 8 models run on the latest filings, and 5 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
There is a wide gap between DDM (5.59) and GLS Growth (43.10). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
Ranked against every other company we cover, neither cheapness nor growth clearly wins for CFFN, so the nightly engine files it under Blend (value score 68, growth score 67, out of 100). It also carries the Income tag (Income = a dividend yield of 4% or more).
Nine valuation models for CFFN
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 11.40 | +30% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 21.91 | +150% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 8.21 | -6% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 43.10 | +391% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 15.43 | +76% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 23.08 | +163% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 5.59 | -36% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 7.82 | -11% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -70.09 | -898% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 9.75 | +11% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. scores 7 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter with room to spare. A GLS Moat score of 2.8/10 is a weak reading: the accounts do not show returns and margins that competitors have been unable to wear down, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 3.3%, ROE 8.6%, ROA 0.9% - with debt at 1.61 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 6.6%.
The dividend yield is high at 4.33% (payout ratio 56%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual. Revenue comes mainly from Deposit Account 78%, Insurance Services 22% (quarter Q3 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 23 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 3.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.8 / 10 | ROE | 8.6% |
| Debt / equity | 1.61 | ROA | 0.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 6.6% | Payout ratio | 56% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 47: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 47 Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. sits in the Weak band. It fails filter 1, options that actually trade - options too quiet (104 open interest, 69 a day); Option trading (weak) is its weakest part.
Implied volatility is 63% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% top of the sweet spot. It still passes the 25-80% filter, but the Wheel Score rewards it less because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is thin - 104 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 1.1M shares a day on a market cap of $1.1B, with a beta of 0.67 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | options too quiet (104 open interest, 69 a day) |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 49% below fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 63% | |
| Moat | Weak | moat 2.8/10 | |
| Health | Good | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Red Flags | Strong | Red Flags score 90/100 | |
| Option trading | Weak | 69 contracts a day, 104 open interest | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 0.67, $1.1B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 27 Jan 2027, 83 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today. The shares go ex-dividend on 6 Nov 2026 (0.0850 per share), so a covered call sold before then carries a small early-assignment risk around that date.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCNE CNB Financial Corporation | 36.78 | 43.64 | +16% | 42Weak | $1.1B |
| BFST Business First Bancshares, Inc. | 32.98 | 42.93 | +23% | 45Weak | $1.1B |
| HBNC Horizon Bancorp, Inc. | 21.44 | 23.72 | +10% | 36Weak | $1.1B |
| MBWM Mercantile Bank Corporation | 61.56 | 73.67 | +16% | 47Weak | $1.1B |
| SBSI Southside Bancshares, Inc. | 35.51 | 46.06 | +23% | 47Weak | $1.1B |
| FSBC Five Star Bancorp | 45.29 | 51.23 | +12% | 41Weak | $1.1B |
| MCBS MetroCity Bankshares, Inc. | 36.60 | 30.24 | -21% | 39Weak | $1.1B |
| NBN Northeast Bank | 130.69 | 254.86 | +49% | 33No options | $1.1B |
| CCNEP CNB Financial Corporation | 24.90 | 37.45 | +34% | 36No options | $1.0B |
| EGBN Eagle Bancorp, Inc. | 34.40 | 33.18 | -4% | 32Weak | $1.0B |
| UVSP Univest Financial Corporation | 41.49 | 48.94 | +15% | 71Good | $1.1B |
| EQBK Equity Bancshares, Inc. | 49.97 | 57.46 | +13% | 38Weak | $1.0B |
⚖ Compare CFFN with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about CFFN
Is CFFN undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 8.78 the stock is 49% below the average fair value of 17.07 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of CFFN and what does it mean?
CFFN scores 47 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filter 1. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for CFFN?
17.07 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 27 Jan 2027, 83 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does CFFN have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 8 listed contracts with 104 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 63% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.