Stock fact sheet · data as of
Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Basic Materials · Gold · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is CNL undervalued?
CNL closed at 11.25 on 16 Oct 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 1.50. Only 0 of the 1 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the Sunday Scan drops names like this at the "below fair value" rule.
The average is built from just 1 models (DCF) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files CNL under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for CNL
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 1.50 | -87% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 1.28 | -89% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 25.00 | +122% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Collective Mining Ltd. scores only 2 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 1.8/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -33.9%, ROE -34.4%, ROA -31.5% - with debt at 0.01 times equity and negative free cash flow.
Collective Mining Ltd. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Retail 43%, Retail Residential 20%, Retail Commercial 15% (quarter Q1 FY2020).
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 2 / 9 | ROIC | -33.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.8 / 10 | ROE | -34.4% |
| Debt / equity | 0.01 | ROA | -31.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -6.1% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 16: No options
No options are listed on Collective Mining Ltd. in our nightly snapshot. The Wheel Score is therefore capped at 39 (it reads 16) and the stock is left out of every options screen; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at 119k shares a day on a market cap of $1.0B, with a beta of 1.01; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 9 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -650% margin of safety | |
| Health | 4 / 20 | Piotroski 2/9 | |
| Moat | 3 / 15 | moat 1.8/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 9 / 20 | 119k shares/day, $1.0B cap, beta 1.01 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 11 Nov 2026 (before the open), 26 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Gold
The 12 companies below are the closest to Collective Mining Ltd. by market cap within the Gold industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBTK Zhen Ding Resources Inc. | 7.98 | 0.0120 | -66467% | 19No options | $886M |
| IAUX i-80 Gold Corp | 1.53 | - | - | 36No options | $1.3B |
| OGG Osisko Gold Group Inc. | 2.65 | - | - | 45Weak | $811M |
| MAKO Mako Mining Corp. | 8.94 | 19.18 | +53% | 39No options | $783M |
| DC Dakota Gold Corp. | 5.52 | 0.2584 | -2036% | 41Weak | $741M |
| GROY Gold Royalty Corp. | 2.94 | 0.3365 | -774% | 56Fair | $681M |
| HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation | 17.42 | 4.15 | -319% | 34Weak | $1.6B |
| GAU Galiano Gold Inc. | 2.19 | 8.35 | +74% | 75Good | $573M |
| THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. | 2.00 | 0.0059 | -33829% | 18No options | $523M |
| CTGO Contango Silver & Gold Inc. | 15.15 | 16.12 | +6% | 45Weak | $507M |
| DRD DRDGOLD Limited | 24.91 | 190.45 | +87% | 80Prime | $2.2B |
| CMCL Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc | 23.70 | 96.25 | +75% | 80Prime | $458M |
Screen the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the same eight-rule screen, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about CNL
Is CNL undervalued right now?
No: at 11.25 the stock trades 650% above the GLS average fair value of 1.50 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of CNL and what does it mean?
CNL has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for CNL?
1.50 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 1 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Collective Mining Ltd. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 11 Nov 2026 (before the open), 26 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does CNL have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on CNL, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.