Stock fact sheet · data as of
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (DBD): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Technology · Software - Application · United States · Blend
Is DBD undervalued?
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (DBD) closed at 66.57 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 8 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 138.29, which puts the price 52% below it. 6 of the 8 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.
The 8 models disagree widely: EPV gives 35.92 while Payback Time gives 258.54. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files DBD under Blend.
Nine valuation models for DBD
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 139.10 | +109% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 45.27 | -32% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 184.90 | +178% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 80.81 | +21% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 197.90 | +197% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 163.88 | +146% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 258.54 | +288% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 35.92 | -46% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -28.36 | -143% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 100.00 | +50% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - DBD passes 6 of the nine Piotroski tests, which passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 2.6 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 4.2%, ROE 8.6%, ROA 2.5% - with debt at 1.07 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 9.9%.
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Service 59%, Product 41% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 4.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.6 / 10 | ROE | 8.6% |
| Debt / equity | 1.07 | ROA | 2.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 9.9% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 73: Good
DBD scores 73 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Good band, 65-79). The score blends the margin of safety (Value, 25/25), Piotroski health (13/20), the GLS moat (4/15), the option premium on offer (20/20) and how easily the stock trades (11/20). Moat (4/15) is the part holding the score back.
Implied volatility is 51% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 2,177 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 189k shares a day on a market cap of $2.3B, with a beta of 1.19; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 11 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 52% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 4 / 15 | moat 2.6/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 51% | |
| Stability | 11 / 20 | 189k shares/day, $2.3B cap, beta 1.19 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated reports earnings on 28 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Software - Application
The 12 companies below are the closest to Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated by market cap within the Software - Application industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
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| ADEA Adeia Inc. | 21.74 | 21.03 | -3% | 66Good | $2.4B |
| DV DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. | 13.54 | 13.67 | +1% | 80Prime | $2.1B |
| VIA Via Transportation, Inc. | 31.35 | 30.40 | -3% | 45Weak | $2.4B |
| AMPL Amplitude, Inc. | 15.83 | 5.02 | -215% | 43Weak | $2.1B |
| VERX Vertex, Inc. | 12.74 | 3.21 | -296% | 50Fair | $2.1B |
| PLUS ePlus inc. | 94.75 | 50.08 | -89% | 58Fair | $2.5B |
| SOUN SoundHound AI, Inc. | 4.53 | - | - | 45Weak | $2.0B |
| FIVN Five9, Inc. | 35.10 | 31.94 | -10% | 63Fair | $2.6B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about DBD
Is DBD undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 66.57 the stock is 52% below the average fair value of 138.29 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of DBD and what does it mean?
DBD scores 73 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for DBD?
138.29 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 28 Oct 2026 (before the open), 12 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does DBD have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 204 listed contracts with 2,177 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 51% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.