Stock fact sheet · data as of
Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Real Estate · Real Estate - Services · United States · Value
Is DOUG undervalued?
Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) closed at 1.49 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 5 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 6.52, which puts the price 77% below it. 5 of the 5 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.
There is a wide gap between EPV (3.03) and Graham Growth (15.61). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files DOUG under Value: positive earnings at a P/E of 18 or less.
Nine valuation models for DOUG
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 3.35 | +125% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 15.61 | +948% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 6.82 | +358% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 3.79 | +155% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 3.03 | +103% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -1.10 | -174% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Douglas Elliman Inc. scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 1.7/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 5.3%, ROE 8.3%, ROA 3.4% - with debt at 0.56 times equity and negative free cash flow.
Douglas Elliman Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Commissions And Other Brokerage Income 99%, Other Ancillary Services 1% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 7/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 5.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.7 / 10 | ROE | 8.3% |
| Debt / equity | 0.56 | ROA | 3.4% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -13.8% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 7 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 51: Fair
A Wheel Score of 51 puts Douglas Elliman Inc. in the Fair band - below the 70 the Sunday Scan requires. Value 25/25, Health 11/20, Moat 3/15, Premium 5/20 and Stability 7/20; the weakest part is Moat (3/15).
Implied volatility is 144%, far above the range the wheel strategy is built for. The premium looks generous; the Wheel Score gives it only 5 of 20 Premium points because moves of that size can blow through any strike. Chain open interest is 4,012 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 342k shares a day on a market cap of $135M, with a beta of 1.91 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 7 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 77% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 3 / 15 | moat 1.7/10 | |
| Premium | 5 / 20 | implied volatility 144% | |
| Stability | 7 / 20 | 342k shares/day, $135M cap, beta 1.91 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 4 Nov 2026, 19 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Real Estate - Services
The 12 companies below are the closest to Douglas Elliman Inc. by market cap within the Real Estate - Services industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| STHO Star Holdings | 8.01 | 12.75 | +37% | 66Good | $97M |
| OJOC Ojai Oil Company | 326.00 | 208.44 | -56% | 14No options | $91M |
| RFL Rafael Holdings, Inc. | 1.43 | 1.04 | -37% | 22Weak | $73M |
| AZLCZ Aztec Land and Cattle Company, Limited | 2,800.00 | 390.58 | -617% | 16No options | $255M |
| ARL American Realty Investors, Inc. | 16.77 | 13.94 | -20% | 24No options | $271M |
| SEG Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. | 21.69 | - | - | 43Weak | $278M |
| ASPS Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A. | 5.59 | 12.60 | +56% | 39No options | $64M |
| RMR The RMR Group Inc. | 18.12 | 50.01 | +64% | 64Fair | $291M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about DOUG
Is DOUG undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 1.49 the stock is 77% below the average fair value of 6.52 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of DOUG and what does it mean?
DOUG scores 51 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for DOUG?
6.52 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 5 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Douglas Elliman Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 4 Nov 2026, 19 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does DOUG have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 30 listed contracts with 4,012 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 144% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.