Stock fact sheet · data as of
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBIP): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Banks - Regional · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is FGBIP undervalued?
At 17.05 (close of 16 Oct 2026), FGBIP trades 40% below the GLS average fair value of 28.32. That average comes from 3 models run on the latest filings, and 2 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
Only 3 of the nine models produced a value (DCF, 10 Cap, DDM); the others need a dividend, positive free cash flow or positive book value the company does not have yet, so the average rests on a narrow base.
The nightly engine files FGBIP under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for FGBIP
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 36.23 | +112% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 48.15 | +182% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 0.5886 | -97% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -379.70 | -2327% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: FGBIP passes 4 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is low at 0.8 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -13.6%, ROE -24.8%, ROA -1.4% - with debt at 0.82 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 39.4%.
The dividend yield is 0.49% with a payout ratio of -8% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business.
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 4 / 9 | ROIC | -13.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 0.8 / 10 | ROE | -24.8% |
| Debt / equity | 0.82 | ROA | -1.4% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 39.4% | Payout ratio | -8% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
FGBIP has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (39 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 3k shares a day on a market cap of $134M, with a beta of 0.45 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 40% margin of safety | |
| Health | 9 / 20 | Piotroski 4/9 | |
| Moat | 1 / 15 | moat 0.8/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 3k shares/day, $134M cap, beta 0.45 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. reports earnings on 29 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 8.16 | 31.36 | +74% | 39No options | $135M |
| SRBK SR Bancorp, Inc. Common stock | 18.49 | 29.00 | +36% | 39No options | $135M |
| PPBN Pinnacle Bankshares Corporation | 62.50 | 114.67 | +45% | 39No options | $136M |
| CCNB Coastal Carolina Bancshares, Inc. | 18.09 | 38.23 | +53% | 39No options | $136M |
| FKYS First Keystone Corporation | 19.99 | 18.60 | -7% | 34No options | $131M |
| SOMC Southern Michigan Bancorp, Inc. | 28.90 | 51.55 | +44% | 39No options | $130M |
| MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. | 19.89 | 34.82 | +43% | 39No options | $128M |
| PONT Pontiac Bancorp, Inc. | 680.00 | 811.82 | +16% | 39No options | $141M |
| FFDF FFD Financial Corporation | 48.53 | 75.95 | +36% | 39No options | $141M |
| PBCO PBCO Financial Corporation | 27.88 | 22.88 | -22% | 25No options | $141M |
| SFDL Security Federal Corporation | 45.86 | 60.46 | +24% | 39No options | $142M |
| LSBK Lake Shore Bancorp, Inc. | 18.12 | 21.97 | +18% | 39No options | $142M |
⚖ Compare FGBIP with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about FGBIP
Is FGBIP undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 17.05 the stock is 40% below the average fair value of 28.32 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of FGBIP and what does it mean?
FGBIP has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for FGBIP?
28.32 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 3 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 29 Oct 2026 (before the open), 13 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does FGBIP have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on FGBIP, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.