Stock fact sheet · data as of
Fortitude Gold Corporation (FTCO): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Basic Materials · Gold · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is FTCO undervalued?
Fortitude Gold Corporation (FTCO) closed at 4.64 on 16 Oct 2026, 215% above the GLS average fair value of 1.47. 2 of the 2 models that produced a number value the shares below the current price. A gap this wide usually means the market is paying for growth or a story the trailing numbers do not show yet; the models work from filed results, not forecasts, so they are conservative by design.
Only 2 of the nine models produced a value (DCF, DDM); the others need a dividend, positive free cash flow or positive book value the company does not have yet, so the average rests on a narrow base.
The nightly engine files FTCO under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for FTCO
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 1.18 | -75% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 1.77 | -62% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 0.2382 | -95% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: FTCO passes 0 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is low at 1.5 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 0.3%, ROE 0.4%, ROA 0.3% - with debt at 0.18 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The dividend yield is 2.59% at a payout ratio of -113%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Gold dore 100% (quarter Q3 FY2022).
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 0 / 9 | ROIC | 0.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.5 / 10 | ROE | 0.4% |
| Debt / equity | 0.18 | ROA | 0.3% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -13.8% | Payout ratio | -113% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 8: No options
FTCO has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (8 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 7k shares a day on a market cap of $133M, with a beta of 0.55 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -215% margin of safety | |
| Health | 0 / 20 | Piotroski 0/9 | |
| Moat | 2 / 15 | moat 1.5/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 7k shares/day, $133M cap, beta 0.55 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 3 Nov 2026 (after the close), 18 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium. The shares go ex-dividend on 20 Oct 2026 (0.0100 per share), so a covered call sold before then carries a small early-assignment risk around that date.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Gold
The 12 companies below are the closest to Fortitude Gold Corporation by market cap within the Gold industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINE Mayfair Gold Corp. | 2.51 | 0.4640 | -441% | 13No options | $169M |
| GLDG GoldMining Inc. | 0.7918 | 0.0084 | -9295% | 16No options | $170M |
| PZG Paramount Gold Nevada Corp. | 1.04 | - | - | 28No options | $89M |
| USAU U.S. Gold Corp. | 11.94 | 2.01 | -494% | 35Weak | $197M |
| BSAI BluSky AI, Inc. | 10.20 | 5.39 | -89% | 8No options | $257M |
| NAMM Namib Minerals | 1.00 | 48.87 | +98% | 39No options | $56M |
| TRX TRX Gold Corporation | 0.9806 | 0.8485 | -16% | 45Weak | $321M |
| IDR Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. | 21.46 | 24.06 | +11% | 65Good | $340M |
| VGZ Vista Gold Corp. | 2.55 | 0.1060 | -2305% | 25Weak | $372M |
| CMCL Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc | 23.70 | 96.25 | +75% | 80Prime | $458M |
| CTGO Contango Silver & Gold Inc. | 15.15 | 16.12 | +6% | 45Weak | $507M |
| THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. | 2.00 | 0.0059 | -33829% | 18No options | $523M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about FTCO
Is FTCO undervalued right now?
No: at 4.64 the stock trades 215% above the GLS average fair value of 1.47 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of FTCO and what does it mean?
FTCO has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for FTCO?
1.47 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 2 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Fortitude Gold Corporation report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 3 Nov 2026 (after the close), 18 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does FTCO have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on FTCO, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.