Stock fact sheet · data as of
Gates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Industrials · Industrial - Machinery · United States · Blend
Is GTES undervalued?
GTES closed at 26.34 on 16 Oct 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 27.86 - 5.5% below fair value, which our screens read as "fairly priced". 3 of 8 models are above the current price. There is no discount to lean on here, so the margin of safety is not the reason to look at the stock.
There is a wide gap between EPV (15.94) and Graham Growth (48.03). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files GTES under Blend.
Nine valuation models for GTES
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 20.21 | -23% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 21.18 | -20% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 48.03 | +82% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 18.46 | -30% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 20.36 | -23% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 38.23 | +45% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 40.46 | +54% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 15.94 | -39% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -3.87 | -115% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 31.40 | +19% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Gates Industrial Corporation plc scores 8 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. On durability GTES scores 6.8/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 4.3%, ROE 7.5%, ROA 3.5% - with debt at 0.75 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 6.0%.
Gates Industrial Corporation plc pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Power Transmission 63%, Fluid Power 38% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 6/10 and Congressional trading 6/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 8 / 9 | ROIC | 4.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.8 / 10 | ROE | 7.5% |
| Debt / equity | 0.75 | ROA | 3.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 6.0% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 6 · 6 / 10 |
Wheel Score 82: Prime
With a Wheel Score of 82, Gates Industrial Corporation plc sits in the Prime band - price, quality and premium all line up for the wheel strategy. The parts: Value 15/25, Health 18/20, Moat 10/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 19/20. A high score is a ranking, not a signal: it says nothing about timing, the earnings date or your position size.
Implied volatility is 42% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 11,004 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 1.8M shares a day on a market cap of $6.7B, with a beta of 1.28 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 19 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 15 / 25 | 5% margin of safety | |
| Health | 18 / 20 | Piotroski 8/9 | |
| Moat | 10 / 15 | moat 6.8/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 42% | |
| Stability | 19 / 20 | 1.8M shares/day, $6.7B cap, beta 1.28 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Gates Industrial Corporation plc reports earnings on 30 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Industrial - Machinery
The 12 companies below are the closest to Gates Industrial Corporation plc by market cap within the Industrial - Machinery industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAON AAON, Inc. | 77.30 | 43.45 | -78% | 47Weak | $6.4B |
| NPO EnPro Industries, Inc. | 283.93 | 63.52 | -347% | 52Fair | $6.0B |
| TEX Terex Corporation | 52.21 | 44.49 | -17% | 59Fair | $6.0B |
| ZWS Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation | 47.09 | 44.58 | -6% | 74Good | $7.8B |
| AOS A. O. Smith Corporation | 59.47 | 74.36 | +20% | 82Prime | $8.1B |
| JBTM JBT Marel Corporation | 105.93 | 113.13 | +6% | 71Good | $5.5B |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Company | 154.01 | 77.34 | -99% | 50Fair | $8.2B |
| PNR Pentair plc | 52.11 | 70.59 | +26% | 89Prime | $8.3B |
| FLS Flowserve Corporation | 70.77 | 69.84 | -1% | 74Good | $9.0B |
| MIDD The Middleby Corporation | 108.68 | 182.33 | +40% | 45Weak | $4.9B |
| FELE Franklin Electric Co., Inc. | 100.69 | 69.51 | -45% | 59Fair | $4.5B |
| DCI Donaldson Company, Inc. | 87.77 | 57.36 | -53% | 61Fair | $10.2B |
Screen the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the same eight-rule screen, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about GTES
Is GTES undervalued right now?
Not meaningfully: at 26.34 the stock trades within a few percent of the GLS average fair value of 27.86 (5.5% below fair value, data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of GTES and what does it mean?
GTES scores 82 out of 100 (Prime). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for GTES?
27.86 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Gates Industrial Corporation plc report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 30 Oct 2026 (before the open), 14 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does GTES have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 298 listed contracts with 11,004 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 42% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.