Stock fact sheet · data as of
Harleysville Financial Corporation (HARL): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Banks · United States · High Yield Income
Is HARL undervalued?
Harleysville Financial Corporation (HARL) closed at 33.40 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 9 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 42.11, so the price sits 21% below it. 6 of the 9 models value the shares above the current price. A margin of safety between 10% and 30% is where most of the Sunday Scan candidates come from.
There is a wide gap between Lynch (12.94) and 10 Cap (74.64). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files HARL under High Yield Income: a dividend yield above 4%.
Nine valuation models for HARL
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 62.47 | +87% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 45.45 | +36% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 53.88 | +61% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 12.94 | -61% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 16.47 | -51% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 74.64 | +123% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 54.62 | +64% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 20.31 | -39% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 38.20 | +14% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -231.93 | -794% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Harleysville Financial Corporation scores 7 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. On durability HARL scores 5.1/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 3.9%, ROE 10.5%, ROA 1.0% - with debt at 1.72 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 8.0%.
The dividend yield is high at 4.13% (payout ratio 38%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual.
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 3.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.1 / 10 | ROE | 10.5% |
| Debt / equity | 1.72 | ROA | 1.0% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 8.0% | Payout ratio | 38% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
No options are listed on Harleysville Financial Corporation in our nightly snapshot. The Wheel Score is therefore capped at 39 (it reads 39) and the stock is left out of every options screen; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at 1k shares a day on a market cap of $119M, with a beta of 0.17 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 21 / 25 | 21% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 8 / 15 | moat 5.1/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 1k shares/day, $119M cap, beta 0.17 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Harleysville Financial Corporation reports earnings on 21 Oct 2026 - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks
The 12 companies below are the closest to Harleysville Financial Corporation by market cap within the Banks industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBVI FCN Banc Corp. | 37.00 | 52.00 | +29% | 39No options | $64M |
| ALPIB Alpine Banks of Colorado | 48.25 | 69.00 | +30% | 39No options | $395M |
| CNND Canandaigua National Corporation | 220.00 | 582.91 | +62% | 39No options | $403M |
| LOGN Logansport Financial Corp. | 37.00 | 32.02 | -16% | 27No options | $23M |
| GVFF Greenville Federal Financial Corporation | 7.50 | 3.51 | -114% | 22No options | $15M |
| FBAK First National Bank Alaska | 323.00 | 444.68 | +27% | 39No options | $1.0B |
| ITUB Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. | 9.50 | 42.89 | +78% | 83Prime | $104.7B |
| JHS John Hancock Income Securities Trust | 10.20 | 21.12 | +52% | 39No options | $119M |
| PGAC Pantages Capital Acquisition Corp | 10.77 | 11.13 | +3% | 32No options | $119M |
| IAF Abrdn Australia Equity Fund Inc | 12.43 | 37.02 | +66% | 39No options | $119M |
| CEPS Cantor Equity Partners VI, Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares | 10.10 | 0.9782 | -933% | 6No options | $119M |
| QUMS Quantumsphere Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares | 10.38 | 2.59 | -300% | 13No options | $118M |
⚖ Compare HARL with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about HARL
Is HARL undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 33.40 the stock trades 21% below the average fair value of 42.11 (data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of HARL and what does it mean?
HARL has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for HARL?
42.11 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Harleysville Financial Corporation report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 21 Oct 2026, 5 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does HARL have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on HARL, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.