Stock fact sheet · data as of
Harford Bank (HFBK): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Banks - Regional · United States · Defensive
Is HFBK undervalued?
At 44.79 (close of 16 Oct 2026), HFBK trades 54% below the GLS average fair value of 96.42. That average comes from 9 models run on the latest filings, and 8 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Harford Bank the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
There is a wide gap between DDM (14.86) and Payback Time (169.59). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files HFBK under Defensive: a low beta, a dividend and positive earnings.
Nine valuation models for HFBK
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 95.26 | +113% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 76.16 | +70% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 148.80 | +232% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 53.90 | +20% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 92.51 | +107% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 158.69 | +254% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 169.59 | +279% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 14.86 | -67% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 58.01 | +30% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -393.40 | -978% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Harford Bank scores 7 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. On durability HFBK scores 7.1/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 9.8%, ROE 9.9%, ROA 1.0% - with debt at 0.02 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 13.9%.
The dividend yield is 2.25% at a payout ratio of 19%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold.
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 9.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 7.1 / 10 | ROE | 9.9% |
| Debt / equity | 0.02 | ROA | 1.0% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 13.9% | Payout ratio | 19% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
No options are listed on Harford Bank in our nightly snapshot. The Wheel Score is therefore capped at 39 (it reads 39) and the stock is left out of every options screen; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at 0k shares a day on a market cap of $68M, with a beta of -0.19 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 54% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 11 / 15 | moat 7.1/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 0k shares/day, $68M cap, beta -0.19 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for HFBK in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to Harford Bank by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. | 16.75 | 20.94 | +20% | 39No options | $68M |
| OAKV Oak View Bankshares, Inc. | 19.00 | 38.98 | +51% | 39No options | $66M |
| EQFN Equitable Financial Corp. | 19.90 | 30.68 | +35% | 39No options | $66M |
| CBAF CITBA Financial Corporation | 46.39 | 98.11 | +53% | 39No options | $70M |
| HLFN Home Loan Financial Corporation | 46.50 | 136.35 | +66% | 39No options | $66M |
| PGNN Paragon Financial Solutions, Inc. | 14.15 | 48.31 | +71% | 39No options | $65M |
| FFBW FFBW, Inc. | 15.83 | 15.91 | +0% | 39No options | $65M |
| RWCB Redwood Capital Bancorp | 34.61 | 37.73 | +8% | 39No options | $65M |
| CBWA Commencement Bancorp Inc. | 19.09 | 21.57 | +12% | 39No options | $71M |
| PBKX Partners Bank of California | 15.95 | 22.68 | +30% | 39No options | $71M |
| DWNX Delhi Bank Corp. | 21.15 | 10.59 | -100% | 23No options | $71M |
| MVLY Mission Valley Bancorp | 21.40 | 21.99 | +3% | 31No options | $72M |
⚖ Compare HFBK with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about HFBK
Is HFBK undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 44.79 the stock is 54% below the average fair value of 96.42 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of HFBK and what does it mean?
HFBK has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for HFBK?
96.42 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Harford Bank report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for HFBK in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does HFBK have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on HFBK, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.