Stock fact sheet · data as of
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Travel Lodging · United Kingdom · ADR · Blend
Is IHG undervalued?
At 166.15 (close of 16 Oct 2026), IHG trades 98% over the GLS average fair value of 83.87, with 0 of 8 models above the price. The stock earns none of the Wheel Score's Value points at this price. That is a statement about price against trailing fundamentals, not about the company's prospects - the Wall Street View and the Growth tab on the Quote page carry the forward numbers.
The 8 models disagree widely: GLS Growth gives 4.55 while 10 Cap gives 163.28. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files IHG under Blend.
Nine valuation models for IHG
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 128.14 | -23% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | 138.70 | -17% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 50.77 | -69% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 4.55 | -97% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 163.28 | -2% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 105.01 | -37% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 27.81 | -83% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 52.70 | -68% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -41.24 | -125% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 174.67 | +5% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health IHG scores 7/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is low at 4.8 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 40.4%, ROE -27.7%, ROA 14.2% - with debt at -1.69 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 3.7%.
The dividend yield is 1.13% with a payout ratio of 39% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Incentive Management Fees 100% (fiscal year FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 10/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 40.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 4.8 / 10 | ROE | -27.7% |
| Debt / equity | -1.69 | ROA | 14.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.7% | Payout ratio | 39% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 10 / 10 |
Wheel Score 38: No options
IHG has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (38 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 393k shares a day on a market cap of $24.3B, with a beta of 1.03; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 16 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -98% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 7 / 15 | moat 4.8/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 16 / 20 | 393k shares/day, $24.3B cap, beta 1.03 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for IHG in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Travel Lodging
The 12 companies below are the closest to InterContinental Hotels Group PLC by market cap within the Travel Lodging industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H Hyatt Hotels Corporation | 168.91 | 77.72 | -117% | 58Fair | $15.9B |
| HTHT H World Group Limited | 45.94 | 151.00 | +70% | 91Prime | $14.1B |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 342.97 | 156.80 | -119% | 59Fair | $77.2B |
| MAR Marriott International, Inc. | 385.71 | 202.06 | -91% | 57Fair | $100.6B |
| WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 72.59 | 57.09 | -27% | 58Fair | $5.4B |
| CHH Choice Hotels International, Inc. | 106.92 | 99.55 | -7% | 63Fair | $4.9B |
| ATAT Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited | 33.51 | 130.36 | +74% | 89Prime | $4.6B |
| HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. | 36.03 | 68.01 | +47% | 78Good | $2.8B |
| CVEO Civeo Corporation | 30.79 | 67.85 | +55% | 45Weak | $318M |
| GHG GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. | 0.9350 | 3.71 | +75% | 39No options | $95M |
| INTG The InterGroup Corporation | 32.54 | 65.57 | +50% | 39No options | $70M |
| SKTP Skytop Lodge Corporation | 1,699.10 | 576.17 | -195% | 10No options | $17M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about IHG
Is IHG undervalued right now?
No: at 166.15 the stock trades 98% above the GLS average fair value of 83.87 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of IHG and what does it mean?
IHG has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for IHG?
83.87 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does InterContinental Hotels Group PLC report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for IHG in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does IHG have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on IHG, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.