Stock fact sheet · data as of
JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Leisure · United States · Blend
Is JAKK undervalued?
JAKK closed at 29.04 on 16 Oct 2026, 24% below the GLS average fair value of 38.34 from 9 models (4 of them above the price). That is a moderate margin of safety: the stock passes the "below fair value" rule of the Sunday Scan, and the Wheel Score gives it 23 of the 25 Value points.
There is a wide gap between GLS Growth (4.13) and 10 Cap (82.92). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files JAKK under Blend.
Nine valuation models for JAKK
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 26.13 | -10% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 26.23 | -10% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 80.74 | +178% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 35.29 | +22% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 4.13 | -86% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 82.92 | +186% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 59.24 | +104% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 14.71 | -49% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 15.68 | -46% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 6.64 | -77% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 41.67 | +43% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
JAKKS Pacific, Inc. scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 2.5/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 3.3%, ROE 4.0%, ROA 2.2% - with debt at 0.21 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 10.6%.
The dividend yield is 3.44% at a payout ratio of 70%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Toys Consumer Products 68%, Costumes 33% (quarter Q2 FY2022).
Institutional ownership scores 8/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 3.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.5 / 10 | ROE | 4.0% |
| Debt / equity | 0.21 | ROA | 2.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 10.6% | Payout ratio | 70% |
| Institutions | 8 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 62: Fair
A Wheel Score of 62 puts JAKKS Pacific, Inc. in the Fair band - below the 70 the Sunday Scan requires. Value 23/25, Health 11/20, Moat 4/15, Premium 17/20 and Stability 8/20; the weakest part is Moat (4/15).
Implied volatility is 72% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (17 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is thin - 422 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 202k shares a day on a market cap of $332M, with a beta of 1.31 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 8 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 23 / 25 | 24% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 4 / 15 | moat 2.5/10 | |
| Premium | 17 / 20 | implied volatility 72% | |
| Stability | 8 / 20 | 202k shares/day, $332M cap, beta 1.31 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
JAKKS Pacific, Inc. reports earnings on 22 Oct 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Leisure
The 12 companies below are the closest to JAKKS Pacific, Inc. by market cap within the Leisure industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FNKO Funko, Inc. | 6.83 | 15.20 | +55% | 45Weak | $382M |
| ESCA Escalade, Incorporated | 18.70 | 23.33 | +20% | 66Good | $257M |
| PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. | 7.15 | 131.44 | +95% | 45Weak | $249M |
| JOUT Johnson Outdoors Inc. | 43.41 | 65.11 | +33% | 39No options | $450M |
| AOUT American Outdoor Brands, Inc. | 17.76 | 32.60 | +46% | 45Weak | $224M |
| XPOF Xponential Fitness, Inc. | 4.77 | - | - | 43Weak | $201M |
| TRON Tron Inc. | 1.20 | 0.3000 | -300% | 19Weak | $569M |
| LUCK Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation | 5.09 | 7.69 | +34% | 45Weak | $694M |
| CLAR Clarus Corporation | 3.50 | 1.47 | -138% | 36Weak | $134M |
| FUN Six Flags Entertainment Corporation | 8.55 | 47.63 | +82% | 45Weak | $875M |
| PRKS United Parks & Resorts Inc. | 32.47 | 75.55 | +57% | 72Good | $1.5B |
| LEAT Leatt Corporation | 10.43 | 12.01 | +13% | 39No options | $65M |
⚖ Compare JAKK with 7 of them All Consumer Cyclical stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about JAKK
Is JAKK undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 29.04 the stock trades 24% below the average fair value of 38.34 (data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of JAKK and what does it mean?
JAKK scores 62 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for JAKK?
38.34 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does JAKKS Pacific, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 22 Oct 2026 (after the close), 6 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does JAKK have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 90 listed contracts with 422 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 72% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.