Stock fact sheet · data as of
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (LYV): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Communication Services · Entertainment · United States · High Growth
Is LYV undervalued?
LYV closed at 172.51 on 16 Oct 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 59.90. Only 1 of the 8 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the Sunday Scan drops names like this at the "below fair value" rule.
There is a wide gap between Graham Number (2.15) and DCF (179.61). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files LYV under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for LYV
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 179.61 | +4% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 2.15 | -99% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 33.09 | -81% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 14.46 | -92% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 30.18 | -83% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 158.97 | -8% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 54.29 | -69% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 6.43 | -96% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -43.44 | -125% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 208.64 | +21% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. scores only 4 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 3.0/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 3.9%, ROE 183.0%, ROA 2.2% - with debt at 45.91 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 3.4%. Debt of 45.91 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Concerts 84%, Ticketing 11%, Sponsorship and Advertising 5% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 2/10 and Congressional trading 1/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 4 / 9 | ROIC | 3.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.0 / 10 | ROE | 183.0% |
| Debt / equity | 45.91 | ROA | 2.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.4% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 2 · 1 / 10 |
Wheel Score 53: Fair
A Wheel Score of 53 puts Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. in the Fair band - below the 70 the Sunday Scan requires. Value 0/25, Health 9/20, Moat 5/15, Premium 20/20 and Stability 20/20; the weakest part is Value (0/25).
Implied volatility is 39% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. The option chain is deep: 170,164 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 2.0M shares a day on a market cap of $40.2B, with a beta of 1.17; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 20 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -188% margin of safety | |
| Health | 9 / 20 | Piotroski 4/9 | |
| Moat | 5 / 15 | moat 3.0/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 39% | |
| Stability | 20 / 20 | 2.0M shares/day, $40.2B cap, beta 1.17 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 3 Nov 2026 (after the close), 18 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Entertainment
The 12 companies below are the closest to Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. by market cap within the Entertainment industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOXA Fox Corporation | 63.98 | 58.37 | -10% | 74Good | $27.0B |
| FOX Fox Corporation | 57.14 | 59.46 | +4% | 75Good | $25.4B |
| FWONK Liberty Media Corporation | 90.81 | 73.34 | -24% | 56Fair | $22.8B |
| FWONB Formula One Group | 85.00 | 69.04 | -23% | 33No options | $21.0B |
| FWONA Formula One Group | 83.32 | 83.10 | -0% | 60Fair | $20.9B |
| ROKU Roku, Inc. | 152.57 | 104.70 | -46% | 47Weak | $20.2B |
| WMG Warner Music Group Corp. | 28.91 | 23.45 | -23% | 63Fair | $15.1B |
| TKO TKO Group Holdings, Inc. | 172.38 | 215.97 | +20% | 80Prime | $12.6B |
| MSGS Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. | 404.66 | 18.83 | -2049% | 53Fair | $9.7B |
| LLYVA Liberty Live Group | 96.44 | 120.78 | +20% | 45Weak | $9.2B |
| LLYVK Liberty Live Group | 99.66 | 120.73 | +17% | 45Weak | $9.2B |
| DIS The Walt Disney Company | 110.68 | 125.22 | +12% | 80Prime | $191.1B |
⚖ Compare LYV with 7 of them All Communication Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about LYV
Is LYV undervalued right now?
No: at 172.51 the stock trades 188% above the GLS average fair value of 59.90 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of LYV and what does it mean?
LYV scores 53 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for LYV?
59.90 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 3 Nov 2026 (after the close), 18 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does LYV have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 1,000 listed contracts with 170,164 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 39% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.