Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLCM): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score

Is OXLCM undervalued?

OXLCM has a margin of safety of 65%: the stock closed at 24.80 on 5 Nov 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 70.18. 2 of the 3 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our scans treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.

The average is built from just 3 models (DCF, 10 Cap, DDM) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.

The nightly engine files OXLCM under Speculative - it is losing money or its Piotroski health score is 3 or lower - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan. It also carries the Income tag (Income = a dividend yield of 4% or more).

Nine valuation models for OXLCM

Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.

Quality and financial health

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. scores only 3 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 3.0/10 is a weak reading: the accounts do not show returns and margins that competitors have been unable to wear down, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.

Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -32.4%, ROE -56.7%, ROA -32.0% - with debt at 0.75 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 108.9%.

The dividend yield is high at 52.15% (payout ratio -77%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual.

Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.

Wheel Score 27: No options

No options are listed on Oxford Lane Capital Corp. in our nightly snapshot, so it fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade) (it reads 27, under 70) and is left out of every options scan; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.

Volume runs at 13k shares a day on a market cap of $2.4B, with a beta of 0.31 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.

The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.

Upcoming events

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. reports earnings on 5 Nov 2026 - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk. The shares go ex-dividend on 16 Nov 2026 (0.1719 per share), so a covered call sold before then carries a small early-assignment risk around that date.

Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.

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