Stock fact sheet · data as of
Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol PROV · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · United States · Value
Is PROV undervalued?
PROV closed at 18.20 on 5 Nov 2026, which is 18% above the GLS average fair value of 15.46 from 9 models. 5 of them value the shares below today's price. Our scans read that as "no margin of safety": the stock is not a value candidate at this price, whatever the quality numbers say.
There is a wide gap between GLS Growth (0.1609) and 10 Cap (36.42). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
Ranked against every other company we cover, PROV is clearly cheaper than it is fast-growing, so the nightly engine files it under Value (value score 52, growth score 11, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for PROV
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 14.52 | -20% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 21.77 | +20% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 18.53 | +2% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 5.02 | -72% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 0.1609 | -99% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 36.42 | +100% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 22.81 | +25% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 8.24 | -55% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 11.65 | -36% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -165.94 | -1012% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 18.00 | -1% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. scores 8 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter with room to spare. A GLS Moat score of 3.5/10 is a weak reading: the accounts do not show returns and margins that competitors have been unable to wear down, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 2.3%, ROE 5.3%, ROA 0.6% - with debt at 1.24 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 7.8%.
The dividend yield is 3.08% at a payout ratio of 55%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Debit Card 57%, Deposit Account 44% (quarter Q4 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 6/10, insider activity 4/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 8 / 9 | ROIC | 2.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.5 / 10 | ROE | 5.3% |
| Debt / equity | 1.24 | ROA | 0.6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 7.8% | Payout ratio | 55% |
| Institutions | 6 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 4 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 20: No options
No options are listed on Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. in our nightly snapshot, so it fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade) (it reads 20, under 70) and is left out of every options scan; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at 35k shares a day on a market cap of $113M, with a beta of 0.31 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | no listed options |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Fails | trades 18% above our fair value |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Fails | no implied volatility |
| 8 | Big enough | Fails | market cap $113M (under $1.0B) |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Weak | 18% above fair value | |
| Premium | Weak | no option data | |
| Moat | Fair | moat 3.5/10 | |
| Health | Strong | Piotroski 8/9 | |
| Red Flags | Fair | not scored yet - half marks | |
| Option trading | Weak | no option volume data | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 0.31, $113M company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 26 Jan 2027, 82 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today. The shares go ex-dividend on 12 Nov 2026 (0.1400 per share), so a covered call sold before then carries a small early-assignment risk around that date.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPHC OptimumBank Holdings, Inc. | 8.95 | 35.97 | +75% | 34No options | $113M |
| UBOH United Bancshares, Inc. | 41.80 | 66.31 | +37% | 31No options | $113M |
| PPLL Peoples Ltd. | 62.48 | 78.02 | +20% | 29No options | $113M |
| OFED Oconee Federal Financial Corp. | 19.50 | 22.56 | +14% | 25No options | $113M |
| PBNK Pinnacle Bank | 19.10 | 31.79 | +40% | 31No options | $114M |
| UNB Union Bankshares, Inc. | 23.15 | 44.74 | +48% | 34No options | $114M |
| WBBW Westbury Bancorp, Inc. | 42.00 | 68.59 | +39% | 30No options | $111M |
| TYBT Trinity Bank, N.A. | 101.00 | 176.72 | +43% | 33No options | $110M |
| BOTJ Bank of the James Financial Group, Inc. | 24.26 | 34.21 | +29% | 34No options | $110M |
| UNIB University Bancorp, Inc. | 21.30 | 61.04 | +65% | 31No options | $110M |
| PTBS Potomac Bancshares, Inc. | 26.55 | 39.50 | +33% | 34No options | $110M |
| NWPP New Peoples Bankshares, Inc. | 4.93 | 8.23 | +40% | 36No options | $116M |
⚖ Compare PROV with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about PROV
Is PROV undervalued right now?
No: at 18.20 the stock trades 18% above the GLS average fair value of 15.46 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). The margin of safety is negative.
What is the Wheel Score of PROV and what does it mean?
PROV has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; it fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade), stays under 70 and is shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for PROV?
15.46 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 26 Jan 2027, 82 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does PROV have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on PROV, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score stays under 70.