Stock fact sheet · data as of
Shengfeng Development Limited (SFWL): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics · China · High Growth
Is SFWL undervalued?
At 8.50 (close of 16 Oct 2026), SFWL trades 82% below the GLS average fair value of 48.34. That average comes from 8 models run on the latest filings, and 8 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Shengfeng Development Limited the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The 8 models disagree widely: DCF gives 15.13 while GLS Growth gives 122.28. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files SFWL under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for SFWL
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 15.13 | +78% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 36.38 | +328% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 86.37 | +916% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 34.53 | +306% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 122.28 | +1339% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 39.36 | +363% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 27.52 | +224% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 25.20 | +196% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 1.54 | -82% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health SFWL scores 7/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is 7.9 out of 10, built from ten years of revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, share count and returns on capital scored for consistency - a high reading that points to a durable business.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 5.2%, ROE 9.0%, ROA 3.4% - with debt at 0.74 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 8.5%.
Shengfeng Development Limited pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Other 100% (fiscal year FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 5.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 7.9 / 10 | ROE | 9.0% |
| Debt / equity | 0.74 | ROA | 3.4% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 8.5% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
SFWL has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (39 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 1k shares a day on a market cap of $47M, with a beta of -1.80 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 82% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 12 / 15 | moat 7.9/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 1k shares/day, $47M cap, beta -1.80 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for SFWL in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Integrated Freight & Logistics
The 12 companies below are the closest to Shengfeng Development Limited by market cap within the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCEW New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited | 16.53 | - | - | 27No options | $53M |
| JANL Janel Corporation | 50.00 | 271.25 | +82% | 39No options | $59M |
| FLX BingEx Limited | 1.53 | 74.16 | +98% | 39No options | $34M |
| PSIG PS International Group Ltd. | 4.40 | - | - | 37No options | $68M |
| PAL Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc. Common Stock | 3.34 | 40.67 | +92% | 45Weak | $94M |
| ELOG Eastern International Ltd. Ordinary Shares | 1.31 | - | - | 25No options | $17M |
| CJMB Callan JMB Inc. | 2.42 | - | - | 29No options | $12M |
| SLGB Smart Logistics Global Limited Ordinary Shares | 0.2273 | - | - | 31No options | $10M |
| BTOC Armlogi Holding Corp. common stock | 3.05 | - | - | 22No options | $9M |
| RLGT Radiant Logistics, Inc. | 9.01 | 7.11 | -27% | 47Weak | $423M |
| HXHX Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares | 0.2831 | 1.31 | +78% | 33No options | $4M |
| FWRD Forward Air Corporation | 15.84 | 30.44 | +48% | 45Weak | $535M |
Screen the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the same eight-rule screen, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about SFWL
Is SFWL undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 8.50 the stock is 82% below the average fair value of 48.34 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of SFWL and what does it mean?
SFWL has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for SFWL?
48.34 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Shengfeng Development Limited report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for SFWL in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does SFWL have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on SFWL, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.