Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score

Is SMCI undervalued?

At 35.78 (close of 16 Oct 2026), SMCI trades 67% below the GLS average fair value of 107.57. That average comes from 5 models run on the latest filings, and 5 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Super Micro Computer, Inc. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.

The 5 models disagree widely: EPV gives 41.18 while GLS Growth gives 226.90. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.

The nightly engine files SMCI under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.

Nine valuation models for SMCI

Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.

Quality and financial health

Financial health is weak: SMCI passes 3 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is low at 4.0 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.

Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 9.6%, ROE 15.4%, ROA 7.4% - with debt at 0.60 times equity and negative free cash flow.

Super Micro Computer, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Server And Storage Systems 55%, Subsystems and accessories 45% (quarter Q4 FY2026).

Institutional ownership scores 9/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.

Wheel Score 45: Weak

SMCI scores 45 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Weak band (under 50), capped at 45 because the engine files it as Speculative / Distressed. Value 25/25, Health 7/20, Moat 6/15, Premium 12/20, Stability 17/20. The score is not a judgement on the company; it says the price, quality and premium do not line up for selling puts on it today.

Implied volatility is 91% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (12 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. The option chain is deep: 1,508,544 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.

Volume runs at 33.1M shares a day on a market cap of $23.5B, with a beta of 2.01 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 17 of 20.

The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.

Upcoming events

The next earnings report is due on 3 Nov 2026 (after the close), 18 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.

Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.

Similar stocks in Computer Hardware

The 12 companies below are the closest to Super Micro Computer, Inc. by market cap within the Computer Hardware industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.

⚖ Compare SMCI with 7 of them   All Technology stocks →