Stock fact sheet · data as of
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Asset Management · United States · High Growth
Is TPVG undervalued?
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) closed at 4.42 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 6 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 19.43, which puts the price 77% below it. 5 of the 6 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.
There is a wide gap between Lynch (3.82) and GLS Growth (58.41). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files TPVG under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for TPVG
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 13.66 | +209% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 15.39 | +248% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 3.82 | -14% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 58.41 | +1221% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 14.71 | +233% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 10.60 | +140% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -11.44 | -359% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 5.00 | +13% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. scores 6 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 3.4/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 6.0%, ROE 13.9%, ROA 5.9% - with debt at 1.33 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The dividend yield is high at 22.62% (payout ratio 93%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual.
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 8/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 18 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.4 / 10 | ROE | 13.9% |
| Debt / equity | 1.33 | ROA | 5.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -16.2% | Payout ratio | 93% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 8 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 71: Good
With a Wheel Score of 71 - the Good band - TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. clears the Sunday Scan's "70 or higher" rule. The parts: Value 25/25, Health 13/20, Moat 5/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 7/20; Moat (5/15) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 35% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 2,458 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 222k shares a day on a market cap of $180M, with a beta of 1.45 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 7 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 77% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 5 / 15 | moat 3.4/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 35% | |
| Stability | 7 / 20 | 222k shares/day, $180M cap, beta 1.45 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 4 Nov 2026 (after the close), 19 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Asset Management
The 12 companies below are the closest to TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. by market cap within the Asset Management industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| NSLR Neostellar Capital Corp. | 6.84 | 33.86 | +80% | 45Weak | $181M |
| FT Franklin Universal Trust | 7.10 | 23.07 | +69% | 39No options | $178M |
| WHG Westwood Holdings Group, Inc. | 19.14 | 25.77 | +26% | 66Good | $182M |
| RYPMX Rydex Precious Metals Inv | 267.54 | 7,996.50 | +97% | 39No options | $183M |
| IDE Voya Infrastructure, Industrials and Materials Fund | 12.21 | 17.66 | +31% | 39No options | $185M |
| ASMOX AQR Small Cap Momentum Style Fund Class I | 24.22 | 15,107.60 | +100% | 39No options | $185M |
| OPP RiverNorth/DoubleLine Strategic Opportunity Fund, Inc. | 6.88 | 26.02 | +74% | 39No options | $172M |
| RRGAX DWS RREEF Global Real Estate Securities Fund - Class A | 7.34 | 10.98 | +33% | 39No options | $190M |
| SILVX SGI U.S. Large Cap Equity Fund Class I | 20.04 | 11.72 | -71% | 23No options | $191M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about TPVG
Is TPVG undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 4.42 the stock is 77% below the average fair value of 19.43 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of TPVG and what does it mean?
TPVG scores 71 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for TPVG?
19.43 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 6 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 4 Nov 2026 (after the close), 19 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does TPVG have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 36 listed contracts with 2,458 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 35% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.