Stock fact sheet · data as of
trivago N.V. (TRVG): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol TRVG · Technology · Software - Application · Germany · ADR · Value
TRVG is an American depositary share (ADR): the US listing of trivago N.V., whose own shares trade on its home exchange. It trades in dollars during US hours; currency moves and the home country's rules also affect it, and the depositary bank charges a small yearly fee.
Is TRVG undervalued?
TRVG has a margin of safety of 43%: the stock closed at 3.54 on 5 Nov 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 6.20. 5 of the 7 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our scans treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
There is a wide gap between GLS Growth (0.1882) and Graham Growth (11.67). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
Ranked against every other company we cover, TRVG is clearly cheaper than it is fast-growing, so the nightly engine files it under Value (value score 61, growth score 40, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for TRVG
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 3.95 | +12% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 11.67 | +230% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 5.10 | +44% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 0.1882 | -95% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 11.47 | +224% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 8.77 | +148% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 2.27 | -36% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 1.10 | -69% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 5.50 | +55% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
trivago N.V. scores only 4 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 3.1/10 is a weak reading: the accounts do not show returns and margins that competitors have been unable to wear down, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 4.5%, ROE 5.3%, ROA 3.1% - with debt at 0.17 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 17.7%.
trivago N.V. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Referral 100% (fiscal year FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 4 / 9 | ROIC | 4.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.1 / 10 | ROE | 5.3% |
| Debt / equity | 0.17 | ROA | 3.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 17.7% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 29: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 29 trivago N.V. sits in the Weak band. It fails filter 1, options that actually trade - options too quiet (100 open interest, 11 a day); and filter 4, financially healthy - Piotroski 4/9 (under 6); and filter 7, a premium worth selling - implied volatility 159% (over 80%); and filter 8, big enough - market cap $250M (under $1.0B); and filter 9, not a penny stock - price 3.54 (under $5); Premium (weak) is its weakest part.
Implied volatility is 159%, above the 80% ceiling of the Wheel Trade Filter on premium. The premium looks generous, but moves of that size can blow through any strike. Chain open interest is thin - 100 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 277k shares a day on a market cap of $250M, with a beta of 0.54 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | options too quiet (100 open interest, 11 a day) |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Fails | Piotroski 4/9 (under 6) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Fails | implied volatility 159% (over 80%) |
| 8 | Big enough | Fails | market cap $250M (under $1.0B) |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Fails | price 3.54 (under $5) |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 43% below fair value | |
| Premium | Weak | implied volatility 159% | |
| Moat | Weak | moat 3.1/10 | |
| Health | Fair | Piotroski 4/9 | |
| Red Flags | Good | Red Flags score 80/100 | |
| Option trading | Weak | 11 contracts a day, 100 open interest | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 0.54, $250M company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 2 Feb 2027, 89 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Software - Application
The 12 companies below are the closest to trivago N.V. by market cap within the Software - Application industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARQQ Arqit Quantum Inc. | 13.87 | 2.58 | -438% | 12Weak | $241M |
| RWWI Rand Worldwide, Inc. | 7.16 | 18.38 | +61% | 34No options | $241M |
| XPER Xperi Inc. | 5.36 | 5.86 | +9% | 27Weak | $261M |
| GLOO Gloo Holdings, Inc. | 2.90 | - | - | 15Weak | $238M |
| IMMR Immersion Corporation | 7.16 | 179.67 | +96% | 49Weak | $238M |
| KLTR Kaltura, Inc. | 1.54 | 2.63 | +41% | 35Weak | $235M |
| MCAP MCAP Inc. | 9.50 | 28.81 | +67% | 29No options | $234M |
| EXFY Expensify, Inc. | 2.38 | 3.95 | +40% | 25Weak | $230M |
| RBBN Ribbon Communications Inc. | 1.54 | 4.75 | +68% | 26Weak | $276M |
| AZ A2Z Cust2Mate Solutions Corp. | 6.46 | - | - | 14Weak | $284M |
| CMRC Commerce.com, Inc. | 3.45 | 13.21 | +74% | 32Weak | $286M |
| WEWA Wewards, Inc. | 2.00 | - | - | 12No options | $215M |
Scan the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the top 10 stocks that pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about TRVG
Is TRVG undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 3.54 the stock is 43% below the average fair value of 6.20 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of TRVG and what does it mean?
TRVG scores 29 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filters 1, 4, 7, 8, 9. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for TRVG?
6.20 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does trivago N.V. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 2 Feb 2027, 89 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does TRVG have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 6 listed contracts with 100 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 159% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.
Is TRVG an ADR?
Yes. TRVG is an American depositary share (ADR): the US listing of trivago N.V., whose own shares trade on its home exchange. It trades in dollars during US hours; currency moves and the home country's rules also affect it, and the depositary bank charges a small yearly fee.