Stock fact sheet · data as of
Trane Technologies plc (TT): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Industrials · Industrial - Machinery · Ireland · Blend
Is TT undervalued?
TT closed at 471.29 on 16 Oct 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 305.07. Only 2 of the 9 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the Sunday Scan drops names like this at the "below fair value" rule.
The 9 models disagree widely: DDM gives 60.18 while GLS Growth gives 603.80. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files TT under Blend.
Nine valuation models for TT
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 243.96 | -48% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 108.37 | -77% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 443.40 | -6% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 170.03 | -64% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 603.80 | +28% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 392.49 | -17% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 575.10 | +22% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 60.18 | -87% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 148.27 | -69% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -22.53 | -105% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 547.33 | +16% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - TT passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is 8.6 out of 10, built from ten years of revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, share count and returns on capital scored for consistency - a high reading that points to a durable business.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 22.1%, ROE 33.9%, ROA 13.6% - with debt at 0.54 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 3.4%.
The dividend yield is 0.87% with a payout ratio of 30% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Product 66%, Service 34% (fiscal year FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 10/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded Congressional buy was on 10 Aug 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 22.1% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 8.6 / 10 | ROE | 33.9% |
| Debt / equity | 0.54 | ROA | 13.6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.4% | Payout ratio | 30% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 10 / 10 |
Wheel Score 62: Fair
TT scores 62 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Fair band, 50-64): a usable but unremarkable fit for the wheel strategy. The parts: Value 0/25, Health 11/20, Moat 13/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 18/20. Value (0/25) is where the points are missing.
Implied volatility is 35% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 14,003 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 922k shares a day on a market cap of $103.7B, with a beta of 1.16; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 18 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -54% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 13 / 15 | moat 8.6/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 35% | |
| Stability | 18 / 20 | 922k shares/day, $103.7B cap, beta 1.16 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Trane Technologies plc reports earnings on 29 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk. The next ex-dividend date is 4 Dec 2026 (1.05 per share).
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Industrial - Machinery
The 12 companies below are the closest to Trane Technologies plc by market cap within the Industrial - Machinery industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMR Emerson Electric Co. | 162.15 | 83.20 | -95% | 66Good | $90.4B |
| PH Parker-Hannifin Corporation | 956.32 | 522.10 | -83% | 71Good | $120.6B |
| ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. | 271.19 | 140.19 | -93% | 57Fair | $77.2B |
| CMI Cummins Inc. | 532.73 | 439.26 | -21% | 66Good | $73.3B |
| PCAR PACCAR Inc | 108.56 | 79.18 | -37% | 58Fair | $57.1B |
| ROK Rockwell Automation, Inc. | 423.42 | 168.71 | -151% | 66Good | $47.1B |
| CARR Carrier Global Corporation | 54.96 | 28.43 | -93% | 60Fair | $45.3B |
| GEV GE Vernova Inc. | 926.44 | 875.44 | -6% | 74Good | $246.7B |
| IR Ingersoll Rand Inc. | 77.88 | 39.61 | -97% | 63Fair | $30.2B |
| SYM Symbotic Inc. | 37.90 | 22.23 | -70% | 56Fair | $27.4B |
| OTIS Otis Worldwide Corporation | 70.40 | 64.55 | -9% | 69Good | $26.8B |
| DOV Dover Corporation | 194.09 | 124.42 | -56% | 61Fair | $26.1B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about TT
Is TT undervalued right now?
No: at 471.29 the stock trades 54% above the GLS average fair value of 305.07 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of TT and what does it mean?
TT scores 62 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for TT?
305.07 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Trane Technologies plc report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 29 Oct 2026 (before the open), 13 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does TT have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 522 listed contracts with 14,003 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 35% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.