Stock fact sheet · data as of
Valley National Bancorp (VLYPO): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Banks - Regional · United States · Value
Is VLYPO undervalued?
At 24.47 (close of 16 Oct 2026), VLYPO trades 25% under the GLS average fair value of 32.59. 4 of the 9 models that produced a value land above the price. A discount of this size counts as a positive margin of safety in every GLS screen; whether it is enough depends on the rest of the picture - the health score, the moat and the option premium below.
The 9 models disagree widely: DDM gives 6.47 while Graham Growth gives 116.60. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files VLYPO under Value: positive earnings at a P/E of 18 or less.
Nine valuation models for VLYPO
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 15.13 | -38% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 20.04 | -18% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 116.60 | +377% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 49.15 | +101% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 7.22 | -71% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 32.15 | +31% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 19.18 | -22% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 6.47 | -74% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 27.39 | +12% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -257.13 | -1151% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health VLYPO scores 7/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is low at 3.5 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 5.3%, ROE 7.7%, ROA 0.9% - with debt at 0.44 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 8.1%.
The dividend yield is 3.55% at a payout ratio of 40%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Deposit Account 52%, Investment Advisory, Management and Adm… 49% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 3/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 5.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.5 / 10 | ROE | 7.7% |
| Debt / equity | 0.44 | ROA | 0.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 8.1% | Payout ratio | 40% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 3 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
VLYPO has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (39 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 3k shares a day on a market cap of $5.3B, with a beta of 1.05; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 11 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 23 / 25 | 25% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 5 / 15 | moat 3.5/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 11 / 20 | 3k shares/day, $5.3B cap, beta 1.05 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Valley National Bancorp reports earnings on 22 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to Valley National Bancorp by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABCB Ameris Bancorp | 79.74 | 79.07 | -1% | 73Good | $5.4B |
| VLYPP Valley National Bancorp | 24.88 | 32.99 | +25% | 39No options | $5.4B |
| AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation | 38.30 | 56.16 | +32% | 82Prime | $5.5B |
| FINN First National of Nebraska, Inc. | 19,000.00 | 59,493.42 | +68% | 39No options | $5.1B |
| AX Axos Financial, Inc. | 87.52 | 213.10 | +59% | 82Prime | $5.0B |
| GBCI Glacier Bancorp, Inc. | 43.76 | 56.73 | +23% | 78Good | $5.7B |
| OZK Bank OZK | 44.93 | 118.53 | +62% | 86Prime | $4.9B |
| OZKAP Bank OZK | 15.10 | 75.93 | +80% | 39No options | $4.9B |
| HOMB Home Bancshares, Inc. | 28.87 | 29.54 | +2% | 76Good | $5.8B |
| AVAL Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. | 4.90 | 5,904.36 | +100% | 39No options | $5.8B |
| HWCPZ Hancock Whitney Corporation - 6 | 20.88 | 49.31 | +58% | 39No options | $5.9B |
| HWC Hancock Whitney Corporation | 73.03 | 83.87 | +13% | 76Good | $5.9B |
⚖ Compare VLYPO with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about VLYPO
Is VLYPO undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 24.47 the stock trades 25% below the average fair value of 32.59 (data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of VLYPO and what does it mean?
VLYPO has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for VLYPO?
32.59 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Valley National Bancorp report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 22 Oct 2026 (before the open), 6 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does VLYPO have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on VLYPO, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.