Xos, Inc. (XOS): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score

Is XOS undervalued?

XOS closed at 2.95 on 16 Oct 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 1.91. Only 0 of the 1 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the Sunday Scan drops names like this at the "below fair value" rule.

Only 1 of the nine models produced a value (10 Cap); the others need a dividend, positive free cash flow or positive book value the company does not have yet, so the average rests on a narrow base.

The nightly engine files XOS under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.

Nine valuation models for XOS

Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.

Quality and financial health

Financial health is average - XOS passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 1.1 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.

Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -55.9%, ROE -108.7%, ROA -41.9% - with debt at 0.94 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 3.9%.

Xos, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Product 56%, Stepvans And Vehicle Incentives 39%, Manufactured Product, Other 3% (quarter Q4 FY2025).

Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 8/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 10 Sep 2026.

Wheel Score 19: No options

XOS has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (19 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.

Volume runs at 258k shares a day on a market cap of $30M, with a beta of 1.78 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 7 of 20.

The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.

Upcoming events

The next earnings report is due on 12 Nov 2026 (after the close), 27 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.

Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.

Similar stocks in Auto - Manufacturers

The 12 companies below are the closest to Xos, Inc. by market cap within the Auto - Manufacturers industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.

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