Stock fact sheet · data as of
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Dealerships · United States · Value
Is ABG undervalued?
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) closed at 169.87 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 8 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 478.77, which puts the price 65% below it. 7 of the 8 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.
The 8 models disagree widely: GLS Growth gives 130.55 while Graham Growth gives 812.43. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files ABG under Value: positive earnings at a P/E of 18 or less.
Nine valuation models for ABG
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 588.30 | +246% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 352.96 | +108% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 812.43 | +378% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 301.48 | +77% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 130.55 | -23% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 806.45 | +375% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 540.00 | +218% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 297.95 | +75% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -250.43 | -247% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 235.50 | +39% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - ABG passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is 5.1 out of 10: a ten-year record that is consistent in some of the metrics the score tracks (revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, returns on capital) and patchy in others.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 4.8%, ROE 12.6%, ROA 4.2% - with debt at 1.63 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 16.3%.
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from New and Used Vehicle 45%, New Vehicle 29%, Used vehicle retail 14% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 7/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 4.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.1 / 10 | ROE | 12.6% |
| Debt / equity | 1.63 | ROA | 4.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 16.3% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 7 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 77: Good
ABG scores 77 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Good band, 65-79). The score blends the margin of safety (Value, 25/25), Piotroski health (11/20), the GLS moat (8/15), the option premium on offer (20/20) and how easily the stock trades (14/20). Moat (8/15) is the part holding the score back.
Implied volatility is 54% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 7,890 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 392k shares a day on a market cap of $3.0B, with a beta of 0.78 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 14 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 65% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 8 / 15 | moat 5.1/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 54% | |
| Stability | 14 / 20 | 392k shares/day, $3.0B cap, beta 0.78 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. reports earnings on 27 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Auto - Dealerships
The 12 companies below are the closest to Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. by market cap within the Auto - Dealerships industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPI Group 1 Automotive, Inc. | 239.80 | 323.14 | +26% | 77Good | $2.9B |
| VVV Valvoline Inc. | 30.39 | 21.92 | -39% | 54Fair | $3.9B |
| BGSI Boyd Group Services Inc. | 81.65 | 64.45 | -27% | 29No options | $2.3B |
| OPLN OPENLANE, Inc. | 36.98 | 47.45 | +22% | 77Good | $4.5B |
| DRVN Driven Brands Holdings Inc. | 11.96 | 20.91 | +43% | 78Good | $2.0B |
| SAH Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 60.05 | 80.57 | +25% | 74Good | $1.9B |
| RUSHA Rush Enterprises, Inc. | 43.78 | 72.26 | +39% | 88Prime | $5.1B |
| ACVA ACV Auctions Inc. | 10.50 | 1.82 | -478% | 45Weak | $1.8B |
| AN AutoNation, Inc. | 159.80 | 295.09 | +46% | 75Good | $5.3B |
| LAD Lithia Motors, Inc. | 295.31 | 571.63 | +48% | 45Weak | $6.5B |
| RUSHB Rush Enterprises, Inc. | 56.62 | 86.44 | +34% | 39No options | $6.7B |
| KMX CarMax, Inc. | 52.62 | 67.30 | +22% | 81Prime | $7.5B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about ABG
Is ABG undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 169.87 the stock is 65% below the average fair value of 478.77 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of ABG and what does it mean?
ABG scores 77 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for ABG?
478.77 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 27 Oct 2026 (before the open), 11 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does ABG have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 316 listed contracts with 7,890 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 54% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.