Stock fact sheet · data as of
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Technology · Software - Application · United States · High Growth
Is ADSK undervalued?
At 245.16 (close of 16 Oct 2026), ADSK trades 16% over the GLS average fair value of 212.18. 4 of the 8 models land above the price and 4 below. A negative margin of safety costs Value points in the Wheel Score (6 of 25 here) - the models see no discount, which does not make the business a poor one, only the price a full one.
There is a wide gap between Graham Number (53.24) and Payback Time (458.61). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files ADSK under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for ADSK
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 122.59 | -50% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 53.24 | -78% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 260.70 | +6% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 100.08 | -59% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 299.72 | +22% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 315.64 | +29% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 458.61 | +87% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 86.88 | -65% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -21.44 | -109% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 301.13 | +23% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Autodesk, Inc. scores 9 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. A GLS Moat score of 7.5/10 puts ADSK among the more durable businesses we track: over ten years the metrics the score watches (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, ROIC) have mostly moved the right way, year after year.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 19.4%, ROE 36.9%, ROA 9.0% - with debt at 0.90 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 5.5%.
Autodesk, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Architecture Engineering And Constructi… 50%, AutoCAD and AutoCAD LT Family 24%, Manufacturing 19% (quarter Q2 FY2027).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 1/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 9 / 9 | ROIC | 19.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 7.5 / 10 | ROE | 36.9% |
| Debt / equity | 0.90 | ROA | 9.0% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 5.5% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 1 / 10 |
Wheel Score 77: Good
With a Wheel Score of 77 - the Good band - Autodesk, Inc. clears the Sunday Scan's "70 or higher" rule. The parts: Value 6/25, Health 20/20, Moat 11/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 20/20; Value (6/25) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 46% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 46,739 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 2.4M shares a day on a market cap of $51.2B, with a beta of 1.33 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 20 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 6 / 25 | -16% margin of safety | |
| Health | 20 / 20 | Piotroski 9/9 | |
| Moat | 11 / 15 | moat 7.5/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 46% | |
| Stability | 20 / 20 | 2.4M shares/day, $51.2B cap, beta 1.33 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 24 Nov 2026 (after the close), 39 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
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The 12 companies below are the closest to Autodesk, Inc. by market cap within the Software - Application industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
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| MSTR Strategy Inc | 151.29 | - | - | 45Weak | $60.9B |
| ROP Roper Technologies, Inc. | 372.69 | 587.95 | +37% | 92Prime | $36.9B |
| BSP Bending Spoons S.p.A. | 55.77 | 17.35 | -221% | 32Weak | $35.4B |
| STRC Strategy Inc | 99.74 | - | - | 38Weak | $33.0B |
| STRF MicroStrategy Incorporated 10.00% Series A Perpetual Strife Preferred Stock | 103.34 | - | - | 35Weak | $30.7B |
| INTU Intuit Inc. | 330.17 | 478.07 | +31% | 93Prime | $88.2B |
| CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. | 324.38 | 109.99 | -195% | 62Fair | $89.3B |
| APP AppLovin Corporation | 279.29 | 342.32 | +18% | 80Prime | $93.8B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about ADSK
Is ADSK undervalued right now?
No: at 245.16 the stock trades 16% above the GLS average fair value of 212.18 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). The margin of safety is negative.
What is the Wheel Score of ADSK and what does it mean?
ADSK scores 77 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for ADSK?
212.18 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Autodesk, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 24 Nov 2026 (after the close), 39 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does ADSK have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 1,000 listed contracts with 46,739 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 46% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.