Stock fact sheet · data as of
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol ADSK · Technology · Software - Application · United States · Growth
Is ADSK undervalued?
At 270.09 (close of 5 Nov 2026), ADSK trades 27% over the GLS average fair value of 213.31. 3 of the 8 models land above the price and 5 below. A negative margin of safety fails the "below fair value" Wheel Trade Filter - the models see no discount, which does not make the business a poor one, only the price a full one.
There is a wide gap between Graham Number (53.24) and Payback Time (458.61). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
Ranked against every other company we cover, ADSK is clearly faster-growing than it is cheap, so the nightly engine files it under Growth (value score 14, growth score 70, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for ADSK
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 131.58 | -51% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 53.24 | -80% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 260.70 | -3% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 100.08 | -63% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 299.72 | +11% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 315.64 | +17% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 458.61 | +70% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 86.88 | -68% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -21.44 | -108% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 301.13 | +11% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Autodesk, Inc. scores 9 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter with room to spare. On durability ADSK scores 6.5/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Moat Score tab on the Quote page's Financials view shows which of the four parts hold it back.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 19.4%, ROE 36.9%, ROA 9.0% - with debt at 0.90 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 5.0%.
Autodesk, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Architecture Engineering And Constructi… 50%, AutoCAD and AutoCAD LT Family 24%, Manufacturing 19% (quarter Q2 FY2027).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 1/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 9 / 9 | ROIC | 19.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.5 / 10 | ROE | 36.9% |
| Debt / equity | 0.90 | ROA | 9.0% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 5.0% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 1 / 10 |
Wheel Score 47: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 47 Autodesk, Inc. sits in the Weak band. It fails filter 3, below fair value - trades 27% above our fair value; Value (weak) is its weakest part.
Implied volatility is 55% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% sweet spot the Wheel Score rewards most: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 27,752 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 3.8M shares a day on a market cap of $56.4B, with a beta of 1.27 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that strong.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Fails | trades 27% above our fair value |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Weak | 27% above fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 55% | |
| Moat | Good | moat 6.5/10 | |
| Health | Strong | Piotroski 9/9 | |
| Red Flags | Strong | Red Flags score 90/100 | |
| Option trading | Good | 4,717 contracts a day, 27,752 open interest | |
| Stability | Strong | beta 1.27, $56.4B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 24 Nov 2026 (after the close), 19 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
No analyst upgrades or downgrades were recorded in the last 30 days.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Software - Application
The 12 companies below are the closest to Autodesk, Inc. by market cap within the Software - Application industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTR Strategy Inc | 142.54 | - | - | 28Weak | $57.4B |
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| ROP Roper Technologies, Inc. | 492.22 | 630.67 | +22% | 49Weak | $48.7B |
| WDAY Workday, Inc. | 201.84 | 172.19 | -17% | 46Weak | $48.6B |
| TEAM Atlassian Corporation | 189.88 | 95.09 | -100% | 37Weak | $48.1B |
| DDOG Datadog, Inc. | 188.72 | 33.55 | -462% | 41Weak | $67.8B |
| CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. | 329.52 | 111.33 | -196% | 45Weak | $90.4B |
| APP AppLovin Corporation | 271.75 | 385.84 | +30% | 44Weak | $91.3B |
| NBIS Nebius Group N.V. | 141.52 | 9.50 | -1389% | 26Weak | $34.0B |
| INTU Intuit Inc. | 356.64 | 406.72 | +12% | 85Prime | $95.3B |
| STRC Strategy Inc | 99.98 | - | - | 17Weak | $33.1B |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | 248.48 | 361.15 | +31% | 95Prime | $96.7B |
Scan the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the top 10 stocks that pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about ADSK
Is ADSK undervalued right now?
No: at 270.09 the stock trades 27% above the GLS average fair value of 213.31 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). The margin of safety is negative.
What is the Wheel Score of ADSK and what does it mean?
ADSK scores 47 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filter 3. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for ADSK?
213.31 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Autodesk, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 24 Nov 2026 (after the close), 19 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does ADSK have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 584 listed contracts with 27,752 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 55% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.