Stock fact sheet · data as of
AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Investment - Banking & Investment Services · France · ADR · Value
Is AMTD undervalued?
AMTD has a margin of safety of 99%: the stock closed at 0.5675 on 16 Oct 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 45.83. 8 of the 8 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our screens treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
The 8 models disagree widely: GLS Growth gives 7.66 while Graham Growth gives 149.72. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files AMTD under Value: positive earnings at a P/E of 18 or less.
Nine valuation models for AMTD
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 10.97 | +1833% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 13.41 | +2262% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 149.72 | +26282% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 65.44 | +11431% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 7.66 | +1250% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 47.03 | +8188% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 43.33 | +7536% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 29.08 | +5025% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 138.80 | +24358% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: AMTD passes 4 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is low at 1.1 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 2.1%, ROE 2.5%, ROA 1.9% - with debt at 0.17 times equity and negative free cash flow.
AMTD IDEA Group pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Others 100% (fiscal year FY2022).
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 4 / 9 | ROIC | 2.1% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.1 / 10 | ROE | 2.5% |
| Debt / equity | 0.17 | ROA | 1.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 0.0% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
AMTD has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (39 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 1.2M shares a day on a market cap of $4M, with a beta of 0.58 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 13 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 99% margin of safety | |
| Health | 9 / 20 | Piotroski 4/9 | |
| Moat | 2 / 15 | moat 1.1/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 13 / 20 | 1.2M shares/day, $4M cap, beta 0.58 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 6 Jan 2027, 82 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Investment - Banking & Investment Services
The 8 companies below are the closest to AMTD IDEA Group by market cap within the Investment - Banking & Investment Services industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STEX Streamex Corp. | 0.4301 | - | - | 34Weak | $50M |
| CURN Currency Exchange International, Corp. | 21.85 | 38.49 | +43% | 39No options | $129M |
| BRBI BRBI BR Partners S.A. ADSs | 14.39 | 23.31 | +38% | 31No options | $378M |
| PJT PJT Partners Inc. | 132.18 | 267.10 | +51% | 85Prime | $3.4B |
| PIPR Piper Sandler Companies | 64.48 | 137.37 | +53% | 83Prime | $4.6B |
| HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc. | 128.51 | 165.16 | +22% | 77Good | $9.0B |
| BNY Bank of New York Mellon Corp | 142.09 | 142.53 | +0% | 65Good | $96.4B |
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | 86.03 | 198.39 | +57% | 90Prime | $151.2B |
⚖ Compare AMTD with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about AMTD
Is AMTD undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 0.5675 the stock is 99% below the average fair value of 45.83 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of AMTD and what does it mean?
AMTD has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for AMTD?
45.83 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does AMTD IDEA Group report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 6 Jan 2027, 82 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does AMTD have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on AMTD, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.