Stock fact sheet · data as of
AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol AMTD · Financial Services · Investment - Banking & Investment Services · France · ADR · Value
AMTD is an American depositary share (ADR): the US listing of AMTD IDEA Group, whose own shares trade on its home exchange. It trades in dollars during US hours; currency moves and the home country's rules also affect it, and the depositary bank charges a small yearly fee.
Is AMTD undervalued?
AMTD has a margin of safety of 100%: the stock closed at 13.56 on 5 Nov 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 67,412.93. 8 of the 8 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our scans treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
The 8 models disagree widely: Graham Number gives 582.49 while Graham Growth gives 309,099.17. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
Ranked against every other company we cover, AMTD is clearly cheaper than it is fast-growing, so the nightly engine files it under Value (value score 73, growth score 31, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for AMTD
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 688.37 | +4976% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 582.49 | +4196% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 309,099.17 | +2279392% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 135,095.79 | +996182% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 15,817.83 | +116551% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 16,218.32 | +119504% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 1,758.94 | +12872% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 60,042.57 | +442692% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 5,634.14 | +41450% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - AMTD passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is 6.0 out of 10: a record that is solid on some of the four parts the score weighs (returns on capital, pricing power, lasting growth, balance sheet) and weaker on others.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 2.1%, ROE 2.5%, ROA 1.9% - with debt at 0.17 times equity and negative free cash flow.
AMTD IDEA Group pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Others 100% (fiscal year FY2022).
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 2.1% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.0 / 10 | ROE | 2.5% |
| Debt / equity | 0.17 | ROA | 1.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 0.0% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 33: No options
AMTD has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business. It fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade), so the score stays under 70 and is shown as "No options" (33 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 12k shares a day on a market cap of $3M, with a beta of 0.58 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | no listed options |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Fails | Piotroski 5/9 (under 6) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Fails | no implied volatility |
| 8 | Big enough | Fails | market cap $3M (under $1.0B) |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 100% below fair value | |
| Premium | Weak | no option data | |
| Moat | Good | moat 6.0/10 | |
| Health | Fair | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Red Flags | Fair | not scored yet - half marks | |
| Option trading | Weak | no option volume data | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 0.58, $3M company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for AMTD in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Investment - Banking & Investment Services
The 8 companies below are the closest to AMTD IDEA Group by market cap within the Investment - Banking & Investment Services industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STEX Streamex Corp. | 0.3610 | - | - | 5Weak | $42M |
| CURN Currency Exchange International, Corp. | 23.89 | 37.02 | +35% | 35No options | $141M |
| BRBI BRBI BR Partners S.A. ADSs | 7.19 | 22.65 | +68% | 26No options | $188M |
| PJT PJT Partners Inc. | 158.12 | 260.74 | +39% | 52Fair | $4.0B |
| PIPR Piper Sandler Companies | 70.22 | 142.03 | +51% | 46Weak | $5.0B |
| HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc. | 154.06 | 154.34 | +0% | 70Good | $10.7B |
| BNY Bank of New York Mellon Corp | 152.72 | 228.62 | +33% | 77Good | $102.8B |
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | 77.88 | 129.70 | +40% | 90Prime | $136.9B |
⚖ Compare AMTD with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about AMTD
Is AMTD undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 13.56 the stock is 100% below the average fair value of 67,412.93 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of AMTD and what does it mean?
AMTD has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; it fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade), stays under 70 and is shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for AMTD?
67,412.93 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does AMTD IDEA Group report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for AMTD in our calendar as of 5 Nov 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does AMTD have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on AMTD, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score stays under 70.
Is AMTD an ADR?
Yes. AMTD is an American depositary share (ADR): the US listing of AMTD IDEA Group, whose own shares trade on its home exchange. It trades in dollars during US hours; currency moves and the home country's rules also affect it, and the depositary bank charges a small yearly fee.