Stock fact sheet · data as of
AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialty · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is ASIX undervalued?
AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) closed at 16.50 on 16 Oct 2026, 10% above the GLS average fair value of 14.98. Only 1 of the 3 models that produced a number value the shares above the current price. The margin of safety is negative, so the stock fails the "below fair value" rule of the Sunday Scan; a premium of this size is common for companies whose growth the models are conservative about.
The average is built from just 3 models (DCF, 10 Cap, DDM) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files ASIX under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for ASIX
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 31.81 | +93% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 3.72 | -77% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 9.42 | -43% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -16.68 | -201% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 30.80 | +87% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
AdvanSix Inc. scores only 2 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 3.1/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 4.1%, ROE 6.0%, ROA 2.9% - with debt at 0.47 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The dividend yield is 3.88% at a payout ratio of -97%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Chemical Intermediates 44%, Nylon Resins 35%, Caprolactam 22% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 6 Oct 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 2 / 9 | ROIC | 4.1% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.1 / 10 | ROE | 6.0% |
| Debt / equity | 0.47 | ROA | 2.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -5.8% | Payout ratio | -97% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 45: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 45 AdvanSix Inc. sits in the Weak band, capped at 45 because the engine files it as Speculative / Distressed. The parts - Value 8/25, Health 4/20, Moat 5/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 8/20 - show where: Health (4/20) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 56% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is thin - 1,298 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 215k shares a day on a market cap of $446M, with a beta of 1.34 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 8 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 8 / 25 | -10% margin of safety | |
| Health | 4 / 20 | Piotroski 2/9 | |
| Moat | 5 / 15 | moat 3.1/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 56% | |
| Stability | 8 / 20 | 215k shares/day, $446M cap, beta 1.34 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 4 Nov 2026 (before the open), 19 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Chemicals - Specialty
The 12 companies below are the closest to AdvanSix Inc. by market cap within the Chemicals - Specialty industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
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| LWLG Lightwave Logic, Inc. | 4.20 | 0.5222 | -704% | 35Weak | $648M |
| GEVO Gevo, Inc. | 1.17 | - | - | 41Weak | $289M |
| ALTO Alto Ingredients, Inc. | 3.66 | 7.91 | +54% | 67Good | $284M |
| FF FutureFuel Corp. | 5.65 | 1.68 | -236% | 35Weak | $248M |
| KOP Koppers Holdings Inc. | 43.44 | 60.71 | +28% | 45Weak | $822M |
| KRO Kronos Worldwide, Inc. | 7.40 | 7.42 | +0% | 45Weak | $852M |
| HDSN Hudson Technologies, Inc. | 5.04 | 7.09 | +29% | 66Good | $212M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about ASIX
Is ASIX undervalued right now?
No: at 16.50 the stock trades 10% above the GLS average fair value of 14.98 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). The margin of safety is negative.
What is the Wheel Score of ASIX and what does it mean?
ASIX scores 45 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for ASIX?
14.98 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 3 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does AdvanSix Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 4 Nov 2026 (before the open), 19 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does ASIX have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 112 listed contracts with 1,298 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 56% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.