Stock fact sheet · data as of
BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is BRSP undervalued?
At 3.79 (close of 16 Oct 2026), BRSP trades 65% below the GLS average fair value of 10.84. That average comes from 3 models run on the latest filings, and 3 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns BrightSpire Capital, Inc. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The average is built from just 3 models (DCF, 10 Cap, DDM) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files BRSP under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for BRSP
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 10.22 | +170% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 12.88 | +240% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 9.42 | +148% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 1.47 | -61% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 5.00 | +32% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
BrightSpire Capital, Inc. scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 2.3/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -0.9%, ROE -3.3%, ROA -0.9% - with debt at 2.65 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 17.8%. Debt of 2.65 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.
The dividend yield is high at 16.89% (payout ratio -313%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual. Revenue comes mainly from Corporate 94%, Senior and Mezzanine Loans and Preferre… 6% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 8/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | -0.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.3 / 10 | ROE | -3.3% |
| Debt / equity | 2.65 | ROA | -0.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 17.8% | Payout ratio | -313% |
| Institutions | 8 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 45: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 45 BrightSpire Capital, Inc. sits in the Weak band, capped at 45 because the engine files it as Speculative / Distressed. The parts - Value 25/25, Health 11/20, Moat 3/15, Premium 19/20, Stability 13/20 - show where: Moat (3/15) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 62% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (19 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is thin - 440 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 1.5M shares a day on a market cap of $480M, with a beta of 1.38 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 13 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 65% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 3 / 15 | moat 2.3/10 | |
| Premium | 19 / 20 | implied volatility 62% | |
| Stability | 13 / 20 | 1.5M shares/day, $480M cap, beta 1.38 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
BrightSpire Capital, Inc. reports earnings on 27 Oct 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in REIT - Mortgage
The 12 companies below are the closest to BrightSpire Capital, Inc. by market cap within the REIT - Mortgage industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBRT Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc. | 6.27 | 44.26 | +86% | 86Prime | $521M |
| ABR Arbor Realty Trust | 2.80 | 40.95 | +93% | 70Good | $522M |
| IVR Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. | 5.64 | 18.84 | +70% | 74Good | $524M |
| TRTX TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. | 5.64 | 15.47 | +64% | 75Good | $433M |
| AOMN Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9 | 24.43 | 42.53 | +43% | 39No options | $567M |
| PMT PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust | 6.87 | 53.65 | +87% | 71Good | $599M |
| RWT Redwood Trust, Inc. | 2.95 | 2.77 | -6% | 58Fair | $371M |
| KREF KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. | 5.97 | 46.66 | +87% | 45Weak | $352M |
| MFAN MFA Financial, Inc. 8.875% Senior Notes | 25.17 | 96.77 | +74% | 39No options | $677M |
| MFA MFA Financial, Inc. | 6.70 | 48.10 | +86% | 81Prime | $677M |
| MFAO MFA Financial, Inc. 9.000% Senior Notes | 25.10 | 115.10 | +78% | 39No options | $679M |
| ADAMN Adamas Trust, Inc. | 22.91 | 94.82 | +76% | 39No options | $679M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about BRSP
Is BRSP undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 3.79 the stock is 65% below the average fair value of 10.84 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of BRSP and what does it mean?
BRSP scores 45 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for BRSP?
10.84 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 3 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does BrightSpire Capital, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 27 Oct 2026 (after the close), 11 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does BRSP have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 34 listed contracts with 440 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 62% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.