Stock fact sheet · data as of
Cellebrite DI Ltd. (CLBT): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Technology · Software - Infrastructure · Israel · High Growth
Is CLBT undervalued?
Cellebrite DI Ltd. (CLBT) closed at 11.38 on 16 Oct 2026, close to the GLS average fair value of 10.76 (5.7% above fair value). 4 of the 7 models that produced a number sit above the price, 3 below - the market and our models roughly agree. With little margin of safety either way, the case for or against the stock rests on the quality numbers and the option premium rather than on price.
There is a wide gap between EPV (2.64) and Payback Time (22.32). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files CLBT under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for CLBT
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 3.41 | -70% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 13.57 | +19% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 5.93 | -48% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 14.53 | +28% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 12.94 | +14% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 22.32 | +96% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 2.64 | -77% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 0.4827 | -96% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 14.13 | +24% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Cellebrite DI Ltd. scores only 4 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. On durability CLBT scores 7.1/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 15.4%, ROE 16.2%, ROA 8.3% - with debt at 0.05 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 4.9%.
Cellebrite DI Ltd. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Subscription Services 72%, Term Licenses 21%, Professional Services 7% (fiscal year FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 6/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 24 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 4 / 9 | ROIC | 15.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 7.1 / 10 | ROE | 16.2% |
| Debt / equity | 0.05 | ROA | 8.3% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.9% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 6 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 66: Good
With a Wheel Score of 66 - the Good band - Cellebrite DI Ltd. falls just short of the Sunday Scan's "70 or higher" rule. The parts: Value 10/25, Health 9/20, Moat 11/15, Premium 19/20, Stability 18/20; Value (10/25) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 66% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (19 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is 36,743 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 2.6M shares a day on a market cap of $2.9B, with a beta of 1.13; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 18 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 10 / 25 | -6% margin of safety | |
| Health | 9 / 20 | Piotroski 4/9 | |
| Moat | 11 / 15 | moat 7.1/10 | |
| Premium | 19 / 20 | implied volatility 66% | |
| Stability | 18 / 20 | 2.6M shares/day, $2.9B cap, beta 1.13 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 11 Nov 2026, 26 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Software - Infrastructure
The 12 companies below are the closest to Cellebrite DI Ltd. by market cap within the Software - Infrastructure industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTCT NetScout Systems, Inc. | 38.76 | 34.54 | -12% | 65Good | $2.8B |
| TDC Teradata Corporation | 29.89 | 102.56 | +71% | 86Prime | $2.8B |
| STNE StoneCo Ltd. | 11.48 | 145.93 | +92% | 80Prime | $2.6B |
| APPN Appian Corporation | 43.82 | 32.86 | -33% | 45Weak | $3.1B |
| AVPT AvePoint, Inc. | 14.87 | 12.24 | -21% | 59Fair | $3.1B |
| EEFT Euronet Worldwide, Inc. | 65.54 | 155.01 | +58% | 86Prime | $2.5B |
| PAYO Payoneer Global Inc. | 7.14 | 7.93 | +10% | 72Good | $2.4B |
| RAMP LiveRamp Holdings, Inc. | 37.61 | 76.12 | +51% | 72Good | $2.3B |
| PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. | 30.61 | 24.61 | -24% | 57Fair | $3.9B |
| GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc. | 59.34 | 105.83 | +44% | 83Prime | $2.1B |
| FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. | 39.34 | 84.21 | +53% | 76Good | $4.1B |
| TENB Tenable Holdings, Inc. | 38.12 | 9.62 | -296% | 58Fair | $4.2B |
Screen the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the same eight-rule screen, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about CLBT
Is CLBT undervalued right now?
Not meaningfully: at 11.38 the stock trades within a few percent of the GLS average fair value of 10.76 (5.7% above fair value, data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of CLBT and what does it mean?
CLBT scores 66 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for CLBT?
10.76 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Cellebrite DI Ltd. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 11 Nov 2026, 26 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does CLBT have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 136 listed contracts with 36,743 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 66% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.