Stock fact sheet · data as of
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Technology · Software - Infrastructure · United States · High Growth
Is CRWD undervalued?
CRWD closed at 244.57 on 16 Oct 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 7.09. Only 0 of the 8 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the Sunday Scan drops names like this at the "below fair value" rule.
The 8 models disagree widely: EPV gives 0.6386 while 10 Cap gives 34.21. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files CRWD under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for CRWD
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 5.59 | -98% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 2.55 | -99% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 3.14 | -99% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 1.36 | -99% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 3.52 | -99% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 34.21 | -86% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 5.69 | -98% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 0.6386 | -100% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 0.7862 | -100% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 243.38 | -0% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - CRWD passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is 5.6 out of 10: a ten-year record that is consistent in some of the metrics the score tracks (revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, returns on capital) and patchy in others.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -3.1%, ROE -3.7%, ROA -1.5% - with debt at 0.19 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 0.6%.
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Subscription And Circulation 95%, Professional Services 5% (quarter Q2 FY2027).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 10/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 30 Sep 2026; the last recorded Congressional buy was on 7 Aug 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | -3.1% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.6 / 10 | ROE | -3.7% |
| Debt / equity | 0.19 | ROA | -1.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 0.6% | Payout ratio | 36% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 10 / 10 |
Wheel Score 60: Fair
CRWD scores 60 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Fair band, 50-64): a usable but unremarkable fit for the wheel strategy. The parts: Value 0/25, Health 11/20, Moat 8/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 20/20. Value (0/25) is where the points are missing.
Implied volatility is 53% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. The option chain is deep: 344,469 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 10.8M shares a day on a market cap of $250.4B, with a beta of 1.20; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 20 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -3351% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 8 / 15 | moat 5.6/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 53% | |
| Stability | 20 / 20 | 10.8M shares/day, $250.4B cap, beta 1.20 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 1 Dec 2026, 46 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about CRWD
Is CRWD undervalued right now?
No: at 244.57 the stock trades 3351% above the GLS average fair value of 7.09 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of CRWD and what does it mean?
CRWD scores 60 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for CRWD?
7.09 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 1 Dec 2026 (after the close), 46 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does CRWD have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 1,000 listed contracts with 344,469 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 53% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.