Stock fact sheet · data as of
Oracle Corporation (ORCL): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol ORCL · Technology · Software - Infrastructure · United States · Growth
Is ORCL undervalued?
At 123.77 (close of 5 Nov 2026), ORCL trades 31% below the GLS average fair value of 178.67. That average comes from 6 models run on the latest filings, and 3 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Oracle Corporation the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The 6 models disagree widely: DDM gives 29.43 while GLS Growth gives 390.52. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
Ranked against every other company we cover, ORCL is clearly faster-growing than it is cheap, so the nightly engine files it under Growth (value score 37, growth score 80, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for ORCL
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 56.84 | -54% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 364.88 | +195% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 159.47 | +29% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 390.52 | +216% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 29.43 | -76% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 70.88 | -43% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -56.93 | -146% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 230.19 | +86% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - ORCL passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is 7.4 out of 10: a record that is solid on some of the four parts the score weighs (returns on capital, pricing power, lasting growth, balance sheet) and weaker on others.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 8.6%, ROE 40.2%, ROA 6.5% - with debt at 3.67 times equity and negative free cash flow. Debt of 3.67 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.
The dividend yield is 1.62% at a payout ratio of 31%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Cloud 60%, Software 29%, Services 7% (quarter Q1 FY2027).
Institutional ownership scores 6/10, insider activity 2/10 and Congressional trading 1/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 29 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 8.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 7.4 / 10 | ROE | 40.2% |
| Debt / equity | 3.67 | ROA | 6.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -7.7% | Payout ratio | 31% |
| Institutions | 6 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 2 · 1 / 10 |
Wheel Score 55: Fair
ORCL scores 55 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Fair band, 50-69) because it fails filter 4, financially healthy - Piotroski 5/9 (under 6); and filter 5, can repay its debt - 3.8 years to repay its debt (over 3). A stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to reach 70. Otherwise the parts read: value strong, premium strong, moat good, health fair, red flags weak, option trading strong, stability good.
Implied volatility is 58% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% sweet spot the Wheel Score rewards most: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. The option chain is deep: 1,501,731 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 111.4M shares a day on a market cap of $374.2B, with a beta of 1.78 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that good.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Fails | Piotroski 5/9 (under 6) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Fails | 3.8 years to repay its debt (over 3) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 31% below fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 58% | |
| Moat | Good | moat 7.4/10 | |
| Health | Fair | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Red Flags | Weak | Red Flags score 67/100 | |
| Option trading | Strong | 278,236 contracts a day, 1,501,731 open interest | |
| Stability | Good | beta 1.78, $374.2B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 14 Dec 2026 (after the close), 39 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
In the last 30 days analysts logged 2 upgrades and 3 downgrades on ORCL; the latest action was an upgrade by Deutsche Bank on 2 Nov 2026.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Software - Infrastructure
The 12 companies below are the closest to Oracle Corporation by market cap within the Software - Infrastructure industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 171.70 | 44.86 | -283% | 47Weak | $395.0B |
| PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | 348.04 | 38.89 | -795% | 37Weak | $284.9B |
| CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. | 241.00 | 7.10 | -3295% | 41Weak | $246.8B |
| FTNT Fortinet, Inc. | 129.39 | 81.43 | -59% | 50Fair | $95.1B |
| NET Cloudflare, Inc. | 266.82 | 17.03 | -1467% | 31Weak | $95.0B |
| SNPS Synopsys, Inc. | 462.95 | 257.05 | -80% | 44Weak | $88.7B |
| BSQKZ Block, Inc. | 89.11 | 45.91 | -94% | 20No options | $48.2B |
| XYZ Block, Inc. | 87.61 | 45.40 | -93% | 37Weak | $47.4B |
| ZS Zscaler, Inc. | 224.44 | 107.75 | -108% | 34Weak | $36.6B |
| MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 555.80 | 452.78 | -23% | 43Weak | $4.13T |
| TWLO Twilio Inc. | 213.50 | 199.26 | -7% | 40Weak | $33.0B |
| OKTA Okta, Inc. | 191.05 | 82.21 | -132% | 39Weak | $31.9B |
Scan the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the top 10 stocks that pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about ORCL
Is ORCL undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 123.77 the stock is 31% below the average fair value of 178.67 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of ORCL and what does it mean?
ORCL scores 55 out of 100 (Fair) - it fails Wheel Trade Filters 4, 5. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for ORCL?
178.67 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 6 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Oracle Corporation report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 14 Dec 2026 (after the close), 39 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does ORCL have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 736 listed contracts with 1,501,731 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 58% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.