Stock fact sheet · data as of
Invesco DB Energy Fund (DBE): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Asset Management · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is DBE undervalued?
At 38.73 (close of 16 Oct 2026), DBE trades within a few percent of the GLS average fair value of 35.57 (8.9% above fair value). 7 models produced a value and they split 4 above the price to 3 below. A stock priced at fair value earns about half of the Wheel Score's Value points; the rest of the score comes from health, moat, premium and stability.
There is a wide gap between DCF (5.47) and Graham Growth (69.63). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files DBE under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for DBE
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 5.47 | -86% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 46.72 | +21% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 69.63 | +80% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 17.26 | -55% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 52.02 | +34% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 9.93 | -74% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 47.95 | +24% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 26.43 | -32% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Invesco DB Energy Fund scores only 3 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 2.9/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -2.8%, ROE -2.8%, ROA -2.7% - with debt at 0.00 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The dividend yield is 1.74% at a payout ratio of 11%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold.
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 3 / 9 | ROIC | -2.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.9 / 10 | ROE | -2.8% |
| Debt / equity | 0.00 | ROA | -2.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -23.5% | Payout ratio | 11% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 43: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 43 Invesco DB Energy Fund sits in the Weak band. The parts - Value 9/25, Health 7/20, Moat 4/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 4/20 - show where: Stability (4/20) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 38% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is thin - 1,531 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 58k shares a day on a market cap of $60M, with a beta of 1.92 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 4 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 9 / 25 | -9% margin of safety | |
| Health | 7 / 20 | Piotroski 3/9 | |
| Moat | 4 / 15 | moat 2.9/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 38% | |
| Stability | 4 / 20 | 58k shares/day, $60M cap, beta 1.92 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for DBE in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
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| BUFOX Buffalo Early Stage Growth Fund | 16.96 | 49.63 | +66% | 39No options | $65M |
| SEMG Suncoast Select Growth ETF | 28.22 | 0.1913 | -14653% | 6No options | $65M |
| PDCC Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc. | 8.10 | 70.56 | +89% | 39No options | $55M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about DBE
Is DBE undervalued right now?
Not meaningfully: at 38.73 the stock trades within a few percent of the GLS average fair value of 35.57 (8.9% above fair value, data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of DBE and what does it mean?
DBE scores 43 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for DBE?
35.57 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Invesco DB Energy Fund report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for DBE in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does DBE have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 306 listed contracts with 1,531 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 38% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.