Stock fact sheet · data as of
Forge Group, Inc. (FIGP): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is FIGP undervalued?
Forge Group, Inc. (FIGP) closed at 20.00 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 8 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 167.04, which puts the price 88% below it. 8 of the 8 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.
The 8 models disagree widely: EPV gives 21.46 while DCF gives 688.91. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files FIGP under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for FIGP
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 688.91 | +3345% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 27.81 | +39% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 110.49 | +452% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 48.29 | +141% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 118.26 | +491% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 129.89 | +549% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 191.23 | +856% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 21.46 | +7% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -31.48 | -257% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: FIGP passes 3 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is 5.3 out of 10: a ten-year record that is consistent in some of the metrics the score tracks (revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, returns on capital) and patchy in others.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 7.2%, ROE 10.2%, ROA 4.6% - with debt at 0.41 times equity and negative free cash flow.
Forge Group, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain.
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 3 / 9 | ROIC | 7.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.3 / 10 | ROE | 10.2% |
| Debt / equity | 0.41 | ROA | 4.6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 0.0% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
FIGP has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (39 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 0k shares a day on a market cap of $41M, with a beta of -0.25 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 88% margin of safety | |
| Health | 7 / 20 | Piotroski 3/9 | |
| Moat | 8 / 15 | moat 5.3/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 0k shares/day, $41M cap, beta -0.25 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for FIGP in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Insurance - Property & Casualty
The 12 companies below are the closest to Forge Group, Inc. by market cap within the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRHI Presurance Holdings, Inc. | 7.95 | - | - | 21No options | $30M |
| FACO First Acceptance Corporation | 6.12 | 30.47 | +80% | 39No options | $226M |
| KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. | 18.58 | 166.33 | +89% | 75Good | $269M |
| NODK NI Holdings, Inc. | 14.86 | 7.83 | -90% | 21No options | $303M |
| GBLI Global Indemnity Group, LLC | 24.25 | 53.58 | +55% | 39No options | $355M |
| PRHIZ Presurance Holdings, Inc. 9.75% Senior Unsecured Notes due 2028 | 26.48 | - | - | 19No options | $357M |
| OIG Orion180 Insurance Group, Inc. Class A | 9.15 | - | - | 22No options | $358M |
| ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corporation | 10.95 | 36.45 | +70% | 74Good | $531M |
| AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. | 27.70 | 130.58 | +79% | 39No options | $543M |
| ROOT Root, Inc. | 49.12 | 146.07 | +66% | 61Fair | $672M |
| DGICB Donegal Group Inc. | 19.15 | 54.91 | +65% | 39No options | $684M |
| DGICA Donegal Group Inc. | 18.51 | 54.05 | +66% | 71Good | $687M |
⚖ Compare FIGP with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
Screen the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the same eight-rule screen, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about FIGP
Is FIGP undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 20.00 the stock is 88% below the average fair value of 167.04 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of FIGP and what does it mean?
FIGP has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for FIGP?
167.04 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Forge Group, Inc. report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for FIGP in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does FIGP have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on FIGP, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.