NI Holdings, Inc. (NODK): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score

Is NODK undervalued?

NI Holdings, Inc. (NODK) closed at 15.46 on 5 Nov 2026, 98% above the GLS average fair value of 7.83. 5 of the 6 models that produced a number value the shares below the current price. A gap this wide usually means the market is paying for growth or a story the trailing numbers do not show yet; the models work from filed results, not forecasts, so they are conservative by design.

The 6 models disagree widely: DCF gives 1.19 while Graham Growth gives 19.07. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.

Ranked against every other company we cover, neither cheapness nor growth clearly wins for NODK, so the nightly engine files it under Blend (value score 27, growth score 25, out of 100).

Nine valuation models for NODK

Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.

Quality and financial health

Financial health is average - NODK passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 4.6 out of 10: returns on capital, margins or the balance sheet have not shown a lasting edge yet - often a young company, a thin-margin business or one that has only recently turned profitable.

Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -4.3%, ROE -4.3%, ROA -2.1% - with debt at 0.00 times equity and negative free cash flow.

NI Holdings, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain.

Institutional ownership scores 3/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.

Wheel Score 17: No options

NODK has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business. It fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade), so the score stays under 70 and is shown as "No options" (17 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.

Volume runs at 17k shares a day on a market cap of $315M, with a beta of 0.35 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.

The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.

Upcoming events

NI Holdings, Inc. reports earnings on 6 Nov 2026 - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.

Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.

Similar stocks in Insurance - Property & Casualty

The 12 companies below are the closest to NI Holdings, Inc. by market cap within the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.

⚖ Compare NODK with 7 of them   All Financial Services stocks →