Stock fact sheet · data as of
NI Holdings, Inc. (NODK): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · United States · Blend
Is NODK undervalued?
NI Holdings, Inc. (NODK) closed at 14.86 on 16 Oct 2026, 90% above the GLS average fair value of 7.83. 5 of the 6 models that produced a number value the shares below the current price. A gap this wide usually means the market is paying for growth or a story the trailing numbers do not show yet; the models work from filed results, not forecasts, so they are conservative by design.
The 6 models disagree widely: DCF gives 1.22 while Graham Growth gives 19.07. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files NODK under Blend.
Nine valuation models for NODK
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 1.22 | -92% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 10.07 | -32% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 19.07 | +28% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 8.15 | -45% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 4.30 | -71% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 4.18 | -72% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 0.0028 | -100% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - NODK passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 2.7 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -4.3%, ROE -4.3%, ROA -2.1% - with debt at 0.00 times equity and negative free cash flow.
NI Holdings, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain.
Institutional ownership scores 3/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | -4.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.7 / 10 | ROE | -4.3% |
| Debt / equity | 0.00 | ROA | -2.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -10.7% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 3 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 21: No options
NODK has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (21 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 10k shares a day on a market cap of $303M, with a beta of 0.35 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -90% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 4 / 15 | moat 2.7/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 10k shares/day, $303M cap, beta 0.35 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 6 Nov 2026, 21 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Insurance - Property & Casualty
The 12 companies below are the closest to NI Holdings, Inc. by market cap within the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. | 18.58 | 166.33 | +89% | 75Good | $269M |
| GBLI Global Indemnity Group, LLC | 24.25 | 53.58 | +55% | 39No options | $355M |
| PRHIZ Presurance Holdings, Inc. 9.75% Senior Unsecured Notes due 2028 | 26.48 | - | - | 19No options | $357M |
| OIG Orion180 Insurance Group, Inc. Class A | 9.15 | - | - | 22No options | $358M |
| FACO First Acceptance Corporation | 6.12 | 30.47 | +80% | 39No options | $226M |
| ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corporation | 10.95 | 36.45 | +70% | 74Good | $531M |
| AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. | 27.70 | 130.58 | +79% | 39No options | $543M |
| ROOT Root, Inc. | 49.12 | 146.07 | +66% | 61Fair | $672M |
| DGICB Donegal Group Inc. | 19.15 | 54.91 | +65% | 39No options | $684M |
| DGICA Donegal Group Inc. | 18.51 | 54.05 | +66% | 71Good | $687M |
| MHLA Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 | 8.91 | 13.70 | +35% | 38No options | $772M |
| HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. | 35.26 | 130.72 | +73% | 68Good | $930M |
⚖ Compare NODK with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about NODK
Is NODK undervalued right now?
No: at 14.86 the stock trades 90% above the GLS average fair value of 7.83 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of NODK and what does it mean?
NODK has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for NODK?
7.83 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 6 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does NI Holdings, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 6 Nov 2026, 21 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does NODK have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on NODK, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.