Gold Fields Limited (GFI): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score

Is GFI undervalued?

At 37.09 (close of 16 Oct 2026), GFI trades 64% below the GLS average fair value of 102.76. That average comes from 9 models run on the latest filings, and 6 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Gold Fields Limited the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.

The 9 models disagree widely: Lynch gives 14.17 while GLS Growth gives 306.52. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.

The nightly engine files GFI under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.

Nine valuation models for GFI

Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.

Quality and financial health

On financial health GFI scores 8/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is 8.5 out of 10, built from ten years of revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, share count and returns on capital scored for consistency - a high reading that points to a durable business.

Returns on capital are high - ROIC 30.7%, ROE 42.4%, ROA 23.5% - with debt at 0.38 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 13.6%.

The dividend yield is high at 6.37% (payout ratio 36%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual. Revenue comes mainly from Silver 100% (fiscal year FY2025).

Institutional ownership scores 2/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.

Wheel Score 96: Prime

GFI scores 96 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Prime band (80 and above), which fewer than one stock in twenty reaches on any night. The score blends five things a wheel trader checks before selling a cash-secured put: the margin of safety (Value, 25/25), Piotroski health (18/20), the GLS moat (13/15), the option premium on offer (20/20) and how easily the stock trades (20/20).

Implied volatility is 48% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. The option chain is deep: 53,803 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.

Volume runs at 4.7M shares a day on a market cap of $33.0B, with a beta of 0.64 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 20 of 20.

The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.

Upcoming events

No upcoming earnings date is recorded for GFI in the nightly calendar.

Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.

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