Stock fact sheet · data as of
Groupon, Inc. (GRPN): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol GRPN · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information · United States · Speculative
Is GRPN undervalued?
At 17.31 (close of 5 Nov 2026), GRPN trades 51% below the GLS average fair value of 35.10. That average comes from 1 models run on the latest filings, and 1 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Groupon, Inc. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The average is built from just 1 models (10 Cap) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files GRPN under Speculative - it is losing money or its Piotroski health score is 3 or lower - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for GRPN
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 35.10 | +103% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -8.32 | -148% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 23.00 | +33% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Groupon, Inc. scores only 3 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 1.6/10 is a weak reading: the accounts do not show returns and margins that competitors have been unable to wear down, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -27.2%, ROE 196.2%, ROA -12.5% - with debt at -8.21 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 4.3%.
Groupon, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Rest of world 100% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 18 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 3 / 9 | ROIC | -27.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.6 / 10 | ROE | 196.2% |
| Debt / equity | -8.21 | ROA | -12.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.3% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 34: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 34 Groupon, Inc. sits in the Weak band. It fails filter 2, a real business, not a gamble - speculative (a loss, or a weak Piotroski score); and filter 4, financially healthy - Piotroski 3/9 (under 6); and filter 5, can repay its debt - 4.8 years to repay its debt (over 3); and filter 6, no serious red flags - Red Flags score 50 (under 60); and filter 7, a premium worth selling - implied volatility 86% (over 80%); and filter 8, big enough - market cap $704M (under $1.0B); Red Flags (weak) is its weakest part.
Implied volatility is 86%, above the 80% ceiling of the Wheel Trade Filter on premium. The premium looks generous, but moves of that size can blow through any strike. Chain open interest is 39,069 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 1.3M shares a day on a market cap of $704M, with a beta of 0.24 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Fails | speculative (a loss, or a weak Piotroski score) |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Fails | Piotroski 3/9 (under 6) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Fails | 4.8 years to repay its debt (over 3) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Fails | Red Flags score 50 (under 60) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Fails | implied volatility 86% (over 80%) |
| 8 | Big enough | Fails | market cap $704M (under $1.0B) |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 51% below fair value | |
| Premium | Fair | implied volatility 86% | |
| Moat | Weak | moat 1.6/10 | |
| Health | Weak | Piotroski 3/9 | |
| Red Flags | Weak | Red Flags score 50/100 | |
| Option trading | Good | 2,395 contracts a day, 39,069 open interest | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 0.24, $704M company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Groupon, Inc. reports earnings on 9 Nov 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Internet Content & Information
The 12 companies below are the closest to Groupon, Inc. by market cap within the Internet Content & Information industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARS Cars.com Inc. | 12.75 | 24.02 | +47% | 51Fair | $713M |
| TBLA Taboola.com Ltd. | 2.74 | 14.45 | +81% | 41Weak | $691M |
| NRDS NerdWallet, Inc. | 11.81 | 35.46 | +67% | 49Weak | $755M |
| MOMO Hello Group Inc. | 4.55 | 11.97 | +62% | 51Fair | $654M |
| ATHM Autohome Inc. | 22.49 | 45.48 | +51% | 47Weak | $651M |
| MAX MediaAlpha, Inc. | 15.05 | 34.70 | +57% | 49Weak | $766M |
| BMBL Bumble Inc. | 6.00 | 30.31 | +80% | 33Weak | $792M |
| NXDR Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. | 2.44 | 0.7357 | -232% | 27Weak | $944M |
| EVER EverQuote, Inc. | 30.60 | 77.65 | +61% | 51Fair | $969M |
| YELP Yelp Inc. | 22.05 | 111.16 | +80% | 77Good | $1.2B |
| SOHU Sohu.com Limited | 13.62 | 249.14 | +95% | 44Weak | $409M |
| DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. | 4.49 | 0.6531 | -587% | 18Weak | $1.2B |
⚖ Compare GRPN with 7 of them All Communication Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about GRPN
Is GRPN undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 17.31 the stock is 51% below the average fair value of 35.10 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of GRPN and what does it mean?
GRPN scores 34 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filters 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for GRPN?
35.10 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 1 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Groupon, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 9 Nov 2026 (after the close), 4 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does GRPN have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 72 listed contracts with 39,069 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 86% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.