Stock fact sheet · data as of
The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is HAIN undervalued?
At 0.2819 (close of 16 Oct 2026), HAIN trades 98% below the GLS average fair value of 13.55. That average comes from 1 models run on the latest filings, and 1 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
Only 1 of the nine models produced a value (10 Cap); the others need a dividend, positive free cash flow or positive book value the company does not have yet, so the average rests on a narrow base.
The nightly engine files HAIN under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for HAIN
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 13.55 | +4705% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -5.71 | -2124% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 1.00 | +255% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - HAIN passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 2.5 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -39.9%, ROE -197.0%, ROA -28.0% - with debt at 3.94 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 224.7%. Debt of 3.94 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.
The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Meal Preparation 47%, Grocery 18%, Baby/Kids 17% (quarter Q4 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | -39.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.5 / 10 | ROE | -197.0% |
| Debt / equity | 3.94 | ROA | -28.0% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 224.7% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 45: Weak
HAIN scores 45 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Weak band (under 50), capped at 45 because the engine files it as Speculative / Distressed. Value 25/25, Health 11/20, Moat 4/15, Premium 5/20, Stability 14/20. The score is not a judgement on the company; it says the price, quality and premium do not line up for selling puts on it today.
Implied volatility is 256%, far above the range the wheel strategy is built for. The premium looks generous; the Wheel Score gives it only 5 of 20 Premium points because moves of that size can blow through any strike. Chain open interest is 9,475 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 10.1M shares a day on a market cap of $26M, with a beta of 0.80; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 14 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 98% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 4 / 15 | moat 2.5/10 | |
| Premium | 5 / 20 | implied volatility 256% | |
| Stability | 14 / 20 | 10.1M shares/day, $26M cap, beta 0.80 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for HAIN in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Packaged Foods
The 12 companies below are the closest to The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. by market cap within the Packaged Foods industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JVA Coffee Holding Co., Inc. | 4.56 | 27.87 | +84% | 39No options | $26M |
| BRLS Borealis Foods Inc. | 1.03 | - | - | 30No options | $22M |
| LSF Laird Superfood, Inc. | 2.70 | - | - | 20No options | $30M |
| CELV Cellev8 Nutrition Inc. | 0.1600 | - | - | 25No options | $22M |
| BOF BranchOut Food Inc. | 2.20 | - | - | 27No options | $36M |
| WYHG Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares | 3.05 | 12.34 | +75% | 39No options | $38M |
| BSFC Blue Star Foods Corp. | 1.00 | - | - | 32No options | $17M |
| COOT Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares | 0.4559 | 1.91 | +76% | 39No options | $14M |
| HNFSB Hanover Foods Corporation | 60.10 | 1,405.28 | +96% | 31No options | $13M |
| BRID Bridgford Foods Corporation | 5.75 | 15.36 | +63% | 39No options | $52M |
| LFVN LifeVantage Corporation | 6.00 | 6.13 | +2% | 50Fair | $76M |
| RGFC The Real Good Food Company, Inc. | 0.5500 | - | - | 24No options | $9M |
⚖ Compare HAIN with 7 of them All Consumer Defensive stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about HAIN
Is HAIN undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 0.2819 the stock is 98% below the average fair value of 13.55 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of HAIN and what does it mean?
HAIN scores 45 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for HAIN?
13.55 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 1 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for HAIN in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does HAIN have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 70 listed contracts with 9,475 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 256% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.