Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score

Is HAYW undervalued?

At 11.74 (close of 16 Oct 2026), HAYW trades 22% under the GLS average fair value of 15.11. 3 of the 8 models that produced a value land above the price. A discount of this size counts as a positive margin of safety in every GLS screen; whether it is enough depends on the rest of the picture - the health score, the moat and the option premium below.

There is a wide gap between GLS Growth (7.78) and Graham Growth (26.19). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.

The nightly engine files HAYW under Value: positive earnings at a P/E of 18 or less.

Nine valuation models for HAYW

Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.

Quality and financial health

Hayward Holdings, Inc. scores 8 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. On durability HAYW scores 6.8/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.

Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 9.4%, ROE 9.5%, ROA 4.8% - with debt at 0.01 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 8.2%.

Hayward Holdings, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Residential Pool 89%, Commercial Pool 7%, Flow Control 4% (quarter Q2 FY2026).

Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 1/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.

Wheel Score 87: Prime

With a Wheel Score of 87, Hayward Holdings, Inc. sits in the Prime band - price, quality and premium all line up for the wheel strategy. The parts: Value 22/25, Health 18/20, Moat 10/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 18/20. A high score is a ranking, not a signal: it says nothing about timing, the earnings date or your position size.

Implied volatility is 46% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 2,845 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.

Volume runs at 3.1M shares a day on a market cap of $2.5B, with a beta of 1.18; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 18 of 20.

The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.

Upcoming events

Hayward Holdings, Inc. reports earnings on 28 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.

Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.

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