Stock fact sheet · data as of
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Basic Materials · Construction Materials · Ireland · Blend
Is JCI undervalued?
At 147.63 (close of 16 Oct 2026), JCI trades 83% over the GLS average fair value of 80.77, with 1 of 9 models above the price. The stock earns none of the Wheel Score's Value points at this price. That is a statement about price against trailing fundamentals, not about the company's prospects - the Wall Street View and the Growth tab on the Quote page carry the forward numbers.
The 9 models disagree widely: DDM gives 23.54 while Graham Growth gives 238.69. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files JCI under Blend.
Nine valuation models for JCI
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 28.65 | -81% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 54.29 | -63% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 238.69 | +62% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 97.00 | -34% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 46.86 | -68% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 97.93 | -34% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 74.48 | -50% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 23.54 | -84% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 65.52 | -56% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -24.47 | -117% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 171.67 | +16% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health JCI scores 8/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is low at 4.7 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 13.6%, ROE 25.5%, ROA 8.7% - with debt at 0.87 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 2.2%.
The dividend yield is 1.08% with a payout ratio of 27% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Building Solutions North America 68%, Building Solutions EMEA/LA 19%, Building Solutions Asia Pacific 13% (quarter Q3 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 2/10 and Congressional trading 10/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 8 / 9 | ROIC | 13.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 4.7 / 10 | ROE | 25.5% |
| Debt / equity | 0.87 | ROA | 8.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.2% | Payout ratio | 27% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 2 · 10 / 10 |
Wheel Score 65: Good
JCI scores 65 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Good band, 65-79). The score blends the margin of safety (Value, 0/25), Piotroski health (18/20), the GLS moat (7/15), the option premium on offer (20/20) and how easily the stock trades (20/20). Value (0/25) is the part holding the score back.
Implied volatility is 40% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. The option chain is deep: 64,853 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 7.1M shares a day on a market cap of $89.4B, with a beta of 1.28 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 20 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -83% margin of safety | |
| Health | 18 / 20 | Piotroski 8/9 | |
| Moat | 7 / 15 | moat 4.7/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 40% | |
| Stability | 20 / 20 | 7.1M shares/day, $89.4B cap, beta 1.28 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Johnson Controls International plc reports earnings on 27 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Construction Materials
The 12 companies below are the closest to Johnson Controls International plc by market cap within the Construction Materials industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRH CRH plc | 82.32 | 92.98 | +11% | 81Prime | $54.8B |
| VMC Vulcan Materials Company | 241.77 | 159.25 | -52% | 69Good | $31.3B |
| MLM Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. | 491.23 | 556.13 | +12% | 78Good | $29.5B |
| JHX James Hardie Industries plc | 25.90 | 7.80 | -232% | 53Fair | $15.0B |
| CX CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. | 10.06 | 32.55 | +69% | 92Prime | $14.6B |
| MAS Masco Corporation | 72.58 | 77.38 | +6% | 77Good | $14.3B |
| CSL Carlisle Companies Incorporated | 335.49 | 268.81 | -25% | 59Fair | $13.3B |
| WMS Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. | 125.19 | 121.88 | -3% | 72Good | $9.4B |
| OC Owens Corning | 113.69 | 149.84 | +24% | 45Weak | $9.0B |
| SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. | 168.23 | 150.84 | -12% | 64Fair | $8.4B |
| ACA Arcosa, Inc. | 147.01 | 99.18 | -48% | 47Weak | $7.2B |
| AWI Armstrong World Industries, Inc. | 166.59 | 158.94 | -5% | 72Good | $7.0B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about JCI
Is JCI undervalued right now?
No: at 147.63 the stock trades 83% above the GLS average fair value of 80.77 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of JCI and what does it mean?
JCI scores 65 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for JCI?
80.77 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Johnson Controls International plc report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 27 Oct 2026 (before the open), 11 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does JCI have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 610 listed contracts with 64,853 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 40% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.