Stock fact sheet · data as of
Vulcan Materials Company (VMC): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Basic Materials · Construction Materials · United States · Quality / Blue-Chip
Is VMC undervalued?
Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) closed at 241.77 on 16 Oct 2026, 52% above the GLS average fair value of 159.25. 8 of the 9 models that produced a number value the shares below the current price. A gap this wide usually means the market is paying for growth or a story the trailing numbers do not show yet; the models work from filed results, not forecasts, so they are conservative by design.
The 9 models disagree widely: DDM gives 30.16 while Graham Growth gives 251.98. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files VMC under Quality / Blue-Chip: a high moat score and a high health score together.
Nine valuation models for VMC
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 218.68 | -10% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 112.18 | -54% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 251.98 | +4% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 92.29 | -62% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 172.63 | -29% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 237.39 | -2% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 222.35 | -8% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 30.16 | -88% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 95.59 | -60% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -43.09 | -118% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 308.00 | +27% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health VMC scores 8/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is 8.7 out of 10, built from ten years of revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, share count and returns on capital scored for consistency - a high reading that points to a durable business.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 7.8%, ROE 12.7%, ROA 6.5% - with debt at 0.63 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 3.3%.
The dividend yield is 0.85% with a payout ratio of 24% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Aggregates 77%, Asphalt 15%, Concrete 8% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 8/10 and Congressional trading 4/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 8 / 9 | ROIC | 7.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 8.7 / 10 | ROE | 12.7% |
| Debt / equity | 0.63 | ROA | 6.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.3% | Payout ratio | 24% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 8 · 4 / 10 |
Wheel Score 69: Good
VMC scores 69 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Good band, 65-79). The score blends the margin of safety (Value, 0/25), Piotroski health (18/20), the GLS moat (13/15), the option premium on offer (20/20) and how easily the stock trades (18/20). Value (0/25) is the part holding the score back.
Implied volatility is 37% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 8,660 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 1.1M shares a day on a market cap of $31.3B, with a beta of 1.05; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 18 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -52% margin of safety | |
| Health | 18 / 20 | Piotroski 8/9 | |
| Moat | 13 / 15 | moat 8.7/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 37% | |
| Stability | 18 / 20 | 1.1M shares/day, $31.3B cap, beta 1.05 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Vulcan Materials Company reports earnings on 29 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk. The shares go ex-dividend on 9 Nov 2026 (0.5200 per share), so a covered call sold before then carries a small early-assignment risk around that date.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Construction Materials
The 12 companies below are the closest to Vulcan Materials Company by market cap within the Construction Materials industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLM Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. | 491.23 | 556.13 | +12% | 78Good | $29.5B |
| CRH CRH plc | 82.32 | 92.98 | +11% | 81Prime | $54.8B |
| JHX James Hardie Industries plc | 25.90 | 7.80 | -232% | 53Fair | $15.0B |
| CX CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. | 10.06 | 32.55 | +69% | 92Prime | $14.6B |
| MAS Masco Corporation | 72.58 | 77.38 | +6% | 77Good | $14.3B |
| CSL Carlisle Companies Incorporated | 335.49 | 268.81 | -25% | 59Fair | $13.3B |
| JCI Johnson Controls International plc | 147.63 | 80.77 | -83% | 65Good | $89.4B |
| WMS Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. | 125.19 | 121.88 | -3% | 72Good | $9.4B |
| OC Owens Corning | 113.69 | 149.84 | +24% | 45Weak | $9.0B |
| SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. | 168.23 | 150.84 | -12% | 64Fair | $8.4B |
| ACA Arcosa, Inc. | 147.01 | 99.18 | -48% | 47Weak | $7.2B |
| AWI Armstrong World Industries, Inc. | 166.59 | 158.94 | -5% | 72Good | $7.0B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about VMC
Is VMC undervalued right now?
No: at 241.77 the stock trades 52% above the GLS average fair value of 159.25 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of VMC and what does it mean?
VMC scores 69 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for VMC?
159.25 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Vulcan Materials Company report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 29 Oct 2026 (before the open), 13 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does VMC have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 346 listed contracts with 8,660 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 37% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.