Stock fact sheet · data as of
LifeStance Health Group, Inc. (LFST): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Healthcare · Medical - Care Facilities · United States · High Growth
Is LFST undervalued?
LFST closed at 12.37 on 16 Oct 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 8.21. Only 2 of the 8 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the Sunday Scan drops names like this at the "below fair value" rule.
There is a wide gap between EPV (1.47) and DCF (16.96). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files LFST under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for LFST
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 16.96 | +37% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 3.38 | -73% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 7.55 | -39% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 3.30 | -73% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 8.08 | -35% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 11.93 | -4% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 13.06 | +6% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 1.47 | -88% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -0.6979 | -106% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 14.14 | +14% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
LifeStance Health Group, Inc. scores 8 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. A GLS Moat score of 4.4/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 0.6%, ROE 0.6%, ROA 0.4% - with debt at 0.13 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 4.4%.
LifeStance Health Group, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain.
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 8 / 9 | ROIC | 0.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 4.4 / 10 | ROE | 0.6% |
| Debt / equity | 0.13 | ROA | 0.4% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.4% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 63: Fair
A Wheel Score of 63 puts LifeStance Health Group, Inc. in the Fair band - below the 70 the Sunday Scan requires. Value 0/25, Health 18/20, Moat 7/15, Premium 20/20 and Stability 19/20; the weakest part is Value (0/25).
Implied volatility is 55% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 10,251 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 3.5M shares a day on a market cap of $4.7B, with a beta of 1.24 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 19 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -51% margin of safety | |
| Health | 18 / 20 | Piotroski 8/9 | |
| Moat | 7 / 15 | moat 4.4/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 55% | |
| Stability | 19 / 20 | 3.5M shares/day, $4.7B cap, beta 1.24 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 5 Nov 2026 (before the open), 20 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Medical - Care Facilities
The 12 companies below are the closest to LifeStance Health Group, Inc. by market cap within the Medical - Care Facilities industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPCH Option Care Health, Inc. | 31.22 | 36.30 | +14% | 70Good | $4.7B |
| CON Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. | 39.15 | 28.17 | -39% | 66Good | $5.0B |
| NHC National HealthCare Corporation | 245.53 | 259.14 | +5% | 75Good | $3.8B |
| HIMS Hims & Hers Health, Inc. | 29.38 | 55.91 | +47% | 45Weak | $6.6B |
| CHE Chemed Corporation | 515.44 | 334.59 | -54% | 58Fair | $6.7B |
| PACS PACS Group, Inc. | 44.98 | 56.37 | +20% | 82Prime | $7.1B |
| ACHC Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. | 31.04 | 16.57 | -87% | 45Weak | $2.9B |
| AVAH Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. | 12.64 | 25.89 | +51% | 77Good | $2.8B |
| GRDN Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 39.68 | 29.13 | -36% | 58Fair | $2.5B |
| BKD Brookdale Senior Living Inc. | 10.09 | 8.23 | -23% | 45Weak | $2.4B |
| MD Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. | 27.76 | 34.92 | +21% | 78Good | $2.3B |
| ADUS Addus HomeCare Corporation | 116.49 | 115.55 | -1% | 67Good | $2.2B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about LFST
Is LFST undervalued right now?
No: at 12.37 the stock trades 51% above the GLS average fair value of 8.21 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of LFST and what does it mean?
LFST scores 63 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for LFST?
8.21 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does LifeStance Health Group, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 5 Nov 2026 (before the open), 20 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does LFST have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 210 listed contracts with 10,251 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 55% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.