Stock fact sheet · data as of
LanzaTech Global, Inc. (LNZA): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Industrials · Waste Management · United States · Value
Is LNZA undervalued?
LanzaTech Global, Inc. (LNZA) closed at 4.45 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 5 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 1,516.59, which puts the price 100% below it. 5 of the 5 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.
There is a wide gap between GLS Growth (215.96) and Graham Growth (4,250.34). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files LNZA under Value: positive earnings at a P/E of 18 or less.
Nine valuation models for LNZA
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 433.37 | +9639% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 4,250.34 | +95413% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 1,857.66 | +41645% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 215.96 | +4753% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 825.63 | +18453% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -4.92 | -211% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 5.50 | +24% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
LanzaTech Global, Inc. scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 1.4/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -207.7%, ROE 1257.7%, ROA -48.8% - with debt at -7.06 times equity and negative free cash flow.
LanzaTech Global, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Engineering and Other Services 63%, Research And Development 25%, License and Service 12% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 2/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | -207.7% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.4 / 10 | ROE | 1257.7% |
| Debt / equity | -7.06 | ROA | -48.8% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -58.0% | Payout ratio | 419% |
| Institutions | 2 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 49: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 49 LanzaTech Global, Inc. sits in the Weak band. The parts - Value 25/25, Health 11/20, Moat 2/15, Premium 5/20, Stability 5/20 - show where: Moat (2/15) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 198%, far above the range the wheel strategy is built for. The premium looks generous; the Wheel Score gives it only 5 of 20 Premium points because moves of that size can blow through any strike. Chain open interest is thin - 230 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 44k shares a day on a market cap of $58M, with a beta of 1.36 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 5 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 100% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 2 / 15 | moat 1.4/10 | |
| Premium | 5 / 20 | implied volatility 198% | |
| Stability | 5 / 20 | 44k shares/day, $58M cap, beta 1.36 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 6 Nov 2026 (before the open), 21 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Waste Management
The 12 companies below are the closest to LanzaTech Global, Inc. by market cap within the Waste Management industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YDDL One and one Green Technologies. Inc | 1.13 | 6.57 | +83% | 39No options | $52M |
| SGLA Sino Green Land Corporation | 0.4898 | 0.0897 | -446% | 15No options | $79M |
| QRHC Quest Resource Holding Corporation | 1.17 | 6.49 | +82% | 45Weak | $25M |
| OIO OIO Group | 1.62 | 0.0892 | -1716% | 8No options | $23M |
| ENGS Energys Group Limited | 3.62 | - | - | 29No options | $161M |
| ABAT American Battery Technology Company Common Stock | 1.57 | - | - | 45Weak | $224M |
| PESI Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. | 12.80 | - | - | 42Weak | $272M |
| AWX Avalon Holdings Corporation | 2.52 | 8.55 | +71% | 39No options | $10M |
| GWAV Greenwave Technology Solutions, Inc. | 2.45 | - | - | 30No options | $7M |
| ONT Onterris, Inc. | 14.07 | 39.73 | +65% | 45Weak | $494M |
| NVRI Enviri Corporation | 19.59 | - | - | 45Weak | $552M |
| AQMS Aqua Metals, Inc. | 1.69 | 7.77 | +78% | 37No options | $6M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about LNZA
Is LNZA undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 4.45 the stock is 100% below the average fair value of 1,516.59 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of LNZA and what does it mean?
LNZA scores 49 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for LNZA?
1,516.59 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 5 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does LanzaTech Global, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 6 Nov 2026 (before the open), 21 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does LNZA have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 46 listed contracts with 230 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 198% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.