Stock fact sheet · data as of
Onterris, Inc. (ONT): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Industrials · Waste Management · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is ONT undervalued?
ONT has a margin of safety of 65%: the stock closed at 14.07 on 16 Oct 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 39.73. 1 of the 1 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our screens treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
The average is built from just 1 models (10 Cap) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files ONT under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for ONT
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 39.73 | +182% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -8.25 | -159% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 21.33 | +52% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Onterris, Inc. scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. On durability ONT scores 5.0/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -0.1%, ROE -0.2%, ROA -0.1% - with debt at 0.80 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 10.5%.
Onterris, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Measurement And Analysis 100% (quarter Q1 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | -0.1% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.0 / 10 | ROE | -0.2% |
| Debt / equity | 0.80 | ROA | -0.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 10.5% | Payout ratio | -13% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 45: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 45 Onterris, Inc. sits in the Weak band, capped at 45 because the engine files it as Speculative / Distressed. The parts - Value 25/25, Health 11/20, Moat 8/15, Premium 7/20, Stability 11/20 - show where: Premium (7/20) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 114% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (7 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is 22,813 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 825k shares a day on a market cap of $494M, with a beta of 1.64 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 11 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 65% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 8 / 15 | moat 5.0/10 | |
| Premium | 7 / 20 | implied volatility 114% | |
| Stability | 11 / 20 | 825k shares/day, $494M cap, beta 1.64 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 3 Nov 2026, 18 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Waste Management
The 12 companies below are the closest to Onterris, Inc. by market cap within the Waste Management industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVRI Enviri Corporation | 19.59 | - | - | 45Weak | $552M |
| PESI Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. | 12.80 | - | - | 42Weak | $272M |
| ABAT American Battery Technology Company Common Stock | 1.57 | - | - | 45Weak | $224M |
| ENGS Energys Group Limited | 3.62 | - | - | 29No options | $161M |
| SGLA Sino Green Land Corporation | 0.4898 | 0.0897 | -446% | 15No options | $79M |
| LNZA LanzaTech Global, Inc. | 4.45 | 1,516.59 | +100% | 49Weak | $58M |
| YDDL One and one Green Technologies. Inc | 1.13 | 6.57 | +83% | 39No options | $52M |
| CWST Casella Waste Systems, Inc. | 86.50 | 29.10 | -197% | 56Fair | $5.4B |
| QRHC Quest Resource Holding Corporation | 1.17 | 6.49 | +82% | 45Weak | $25M |
| OIO OIO Group | 1.62 | 0.0892 | -1716% | 8No options | $23M |
| GFL GFL Environmental Inc. | 43.55 | 14.38 | -203% | 45Weak | $15.2B |
| CLH Clean Harbors, Inc. | 319.78 | 123.73 | -158% | 65Good | $16.9B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about ONT
Is ONT undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 14.07 the stock is 65% below the average fair value of 39.73 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of ONT and what does it mean?
ONT scores 45 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for ONT?
39.73 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 1 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Onterris, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 3 Nov 2026, 18 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does ONT have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 184 listed contracts with 22,813 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 114% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.