Stock fact sheet · data as of
Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. (MD): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Healthcare · Medical - Care Facilities · United States · Value
Is MD undervalued?
MD closed at 27.76 on 16 Oct 2026, 21% below the GLS average fair value of 34.92 from 8 models (3 of them above the price). That is a moderate margin of safety: the stock passes the "below fair value" rule of the Sunday Scan, and the Wheel Score gives it 21 of the 25 Value points.
There is a wide gap between Lynch (8.80) and 10 Cap (71.96). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files MD under Value: positive earnings at a P/E of 18 or less.
Nine valuation models for MD
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 23.62 | -15% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 23.43 | -16% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 35.50 | +28% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 8.80 | -68% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 22.67 | -18% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 71.96 | +159% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 68.95 | +148% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 24.45 | -12% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -7.60 | -127% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 26.60 | -4% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. scores 7 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. On durability MD scores 5.1/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 10.8%, ROE 19.1%, ROA 7.4% - with debt at 0.76 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 10.2%.
Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Health Care, Patient Service 86%, Hospitals Contracts 14%, Product and Service, Other 0% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 10.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.1 / 10 | ROE | 19.1% |
| Debt / equity | 0.76 | ROA | 7.4% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 10.2% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 78: Good
With a Wheel Score of 78 - the Good band - Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. clears the Sunday Scan's "70 or higher" rule. The parts: Value 21/25, Health 16/20, Moat 8/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 14/20; Moat (8/15) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 60% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (20 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is thin - 535 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 479k shares a day on a market cap of $2.3B, with a beta of 0.61 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 14 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 21 / 25 | 21% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 8 / 15 | moat 5.1/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 60% | |
| Stability | 14 / 20 | 479k shares/day, $2.3B cap, beta 0.61 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 2 Nov 2026 (before the open), 17 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Medical - Care Facilities
The 12 companies below are the closest to Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. by market cap within the Medical - Care Facilities industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADUS Addus HomeCare Corporation | 116.49 | 115.55 | -1% | 67Good | $2.2B |
| BKD Brookdale Senior Living Inc. | 10.09 | 8.23 | -23% | 45Weak | $2.4B |
| GRDN Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 39.68 | 29.13 | -36% | 58Fair | $2.5B |
| SGRY Surgery Partners, Inc. | 14.83 | 46.26 | +68% | 45Weak | $1.9B |
| ASTH Astrana Health, Inc. | 38.03 | 37.22 | -2% | 55Fair | $1.9B |
| AVAH Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. | 12.64 | 25.89 | +51% | 77Good | $2.8B |
| ACHC Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. | 31.04 | 16.57 | -87% | 45Weak | $2.9B |
| ARDT Ardent Health Inc. | 12.20 | 28.12 | +57% | 80Prime | $1.7B |
| SNDA Sonida Senior Living, Inc. | 35.79 | 112.02 | +68% | 45Weak | $1.7B |
| AMN AMN Healthcare Services, Inc. | 40.00 | 75.98 | +47% | 81Prime | $1.5B |
| AGL Agilon Health, Inc. | 88.45 | - | - | 37Weak | $1.5B |
| HCSG Healthcare Services Group, Inc. | 21.43 | 45.20 | +53% | 82Prime | $1.5B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about MD
Is MD undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 27.76 the stock trades 21% below the average fair value of 34.92 (data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of MD and what does it mean?
MD scores 78 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for MD?
34.92 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 2 Nov 2026 (before the open), 17 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does MD have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 90 listed contracts with 535 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 60% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.