Stock fact sheet · data as of
Marblegate Capital Corporation (MGTE): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Financial - Conglomerates · United States · Value
Is MGTE undervalued?
MGTE has a margin of safety of 86%: the stock closed at 0.9000 on 16 Oct 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 6.51. 5 of the 7 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our screens treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
There is a wide gap between Lynch (0.2763) and DCF (31.51). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files MGTE under Value: positive earnings at a P/E of 18 or less.
Nine valuation models for MGTE
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 31.51 | +3401% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 3.20 | +255% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 1.11 | +24% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 0.2763 | -69% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 4.23 | +370% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 4.49 | +399% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 0.7676 | -15% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -1.08 | -220% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Marblegate Capital Corporation scores only 4 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 1.3/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -8.3%, ROE -9.1%, ROA -6.3% - with debt at 0.10 times equity and negative free cash flow.
Marblegate Capital Corporation pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Specialty Finance 99%, Other Operating 1% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 4 / 9 | ROIC | -8.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.3 / 10 | ROE | -9.1% |
| Debt / equity | 0.10 | ROA | -6.3% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -74.0% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
No options are listed on Marblegate Capital Corporation in our nightly snapshot. The Wheel Score is therefore capped at 39 (it reads 39) and the stock is left out of every options screen; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at 5k shares a day on a market cap of $67M, with a beta of -0.28 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 86% margin of safety | |
| Health | 9 / 20 | Piotroski 4/9 | |
| Moat | 2 / 15 | moat 1.3/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 5k shares/day, $67M cap, beta -0.28 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for MGTE in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| MMTX Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share | 10.25 | 0.1882 | -5346% | 6No options | $90M |
| YHNA YHN Acquisition I Limited | 11.09 | 2.84 | -290% | 19No options | $48M |
| FSTJ First America Resources Corporation | 0.4750 | 3.76 | +87% | 39No options | $42M |
| MSBM MSB Global Capital Corp. | 0.1899 | 0.1305 | -46% | 10No options | $42M |
| CAVG ACC Aviation Holdings Ltd | 0.2266 | 0.0008 | -26676% | 18No options | $113M |
| FWAC Futurewave Acquisition Corp. | 9.97 | 0.0802 | -12336% | 6No options | $128M |
| CCAQ Collective Acquisition Corp. | 10.50 | 3.29 | -219% | 6No options | $152M |
| PALO Paloma Acquisition Corp I Class A Ordinary Shares | 9.99 | 0.0939 | -10536% | 6No options | $170M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about MGTE
Is MGTE undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 0.9000 the stock is 86% below the average fair value of 6.51 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of MGTE and what does it mean?
MGTE has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for MGTE?
6.51 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Marblegate Capital Corporation report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for MGTE in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does MGTE have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on MGTE, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.