Stock fact sheet · data as of
National Healthcare Properties, Inc. (NHPBP): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is NHPBP undervalued?
NHPBP closed at 25.44 on 16 Oct 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 18.34. Only 1 of the 2 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the Sunday Scan drops names like this at the "below fair value" rule.
Only 2 of the nine models produced a value (10 Cap, DDM); the others need a dividend, positive free cash flow or positive book value the company does not have yet, so the average rests on a narrow base.
The nightly engine files NHPBP under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for NHPBP
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 10.46 | -59% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 26.21 | +3% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -34.19 | -234% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - NHPBP passes 6 of the nine Piotroski tests, which passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 1.7 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -3.5%, ROE -9.6%, ROA -3.4% - with debt at 1.74 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 3.3%.
The dividend yield is high at 7.00% (payout ratio -29%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual. Revenue comes mainly from Seniors Housing Communities 100% (quarter Q1 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | -3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.7 / 10 | ROE | -9.6% |
| Debt / equity | 1.74 | ROA | -3.4% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.3% | Payout ratio | -29% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 23: No options
NHPBP has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (23 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 2k shares a day on a market cap of $720M, with a beta of 0.41 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 7 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -39% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 3 / 15 | moat 1.7/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 7 / 20 | 2k shares/day, $720M cap, beta 0.41 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 4 Dec 2026, 49 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in REIT - Healthcare Facilities
The 12 companies below are the closest to National Healthcare Properties, Inc. by market cap within the REIT - Healthcare Facilities industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHP National Healthcare Properties, Inc. (NHP) | 15.05 | 6.31 | -138% | 35Weak | $666M |
| UHT Universal Health Realty Income Trust | 37.68 | 34.24 | -10% | 49Weak | $524M |
| XRN Chiron Real Estate Inc. | 31.29 | 41.84 | +25% | 73Good | $414M |
| CHCT Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated | 13.26 | 25.07 | +47% | 75Good | $380M |
| DHC Diversified Healthcare Trust | 7.61 | 3.10 | -146% | 43Weak | $1.8B |
| DHCNI Diversified Healthcare Trust, 5.625% Senior Notes due 2042 | 17.24 | 3.10 | -457% | 20No options | $1.8B |
| MPT Medical Properties Trust, Inc. | 3.11 | 6.38 | +51% | 45Weak | $1.9B |
| DHCNL Diversified Healthcare Trust | 18.23 | 3.10 | -489% | 14No options | $1.9B |
| LTC LTC Properties, Inc. | 43.34 | 41.21 | -5% | 56Fair | $2.3B |
| STRW Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc. | 13.03 | 61.39 | +79% | 39No options | $184M |
| NHI National Health Investors, Inc. | 65.67 | 76.34 | +14% | 63Fair | $3.2B |
| SBRA Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. | 19.17 | 18.28 | -5% | 65Good | $4.9B |
Screen the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the same eight-rule screen, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about NHPBP
Is NHPBP undervalued right now?
No: at 25.44 the stock trades 39% above the GLS average fair value of 18.34 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of NHPBP and what does it mean?
NHPBP has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for NHPBP?
18.34 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 2 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does National Healthcare Properties, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 4 Dec 2026, 49 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does NHPBP have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on NHPBP, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.