Stock fact sheet · data as of
Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Asset Management · Singapore · ADR · High Yield Income
Is NOAH undervalued?
At 7.35 (close of 16 Oct 2026), NOAH trades 94% below the GLS average fair value of 130.16. That average comes from 9 models run on the latest filings, and 8 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Noah Holdings Limited the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The 9 models disagree widely: GLS Growth gives 7.05 while 10 Cap gives 336.32. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files NOAH under High Yield Income: a dividend yield above 4%.
Nine valuation models for NOAH
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 116.21 | +1481% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 162.58 | +2112% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 103.82 | +1312% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 25.74 | +250% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 7.05 | -4% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 336.32 | +4476% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 219.46 | +2886% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 128.78 | +1652% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 71.50 | +873% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 68.95 | +838% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 17.13 | +133% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - NOAH passes 6 of the nine Piotroski tests, which passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 3.1 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 5.6%, ROE 5.7%, ROA 4.8% - with debt at 0.01 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The dividend yield is high at 17.81% (payout ratio 90%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual. Revenue comes mainly from Wealth Management 69%, Asset Management Business 29%, Other Businesses 2% (fiscal year FY2024).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 5.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.1 / 10 | ROE | 5.7% |
| Debt / equity | 0.01 | ROA | 4.8% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 0.0% | Payout ratio | 90% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 59: Fair
NOAH scores 59 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Fair band, 50-64): a usable but unremarkable fit for the wheel strategy. The parts: Value 25/25, Health 13/20, Moat 5/15, Premium 9/20, Stability 7/20. Moat (5/15) is where the points are missing.
Implied volatility is 24% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out: some premium, but under the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for (9 of 20 points). Chain open interest is 2,109 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 117k shares a day on a market cap of $491M, with a beta of 0.82; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 7 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 94% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 5 / 15 | moat 3.1/10 | |
| Premium | 9 / 20 | implied volatility 24% | |
| Stability | 7 / 20 | 117k shares/day, $491M cap, beta 0.82 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 24 Nov 2026 (after the close), 39 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Asset Management
The 12 companies below are the closest to Noah Holdings Limited by market cap within the Asset Management industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
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| UNG United States Natural Gas Fund LP | 11.22 | 12.17 | +8% | 61Fair | $500M |
| NMCO Nuveen Municipal Credit Opportunities Fund | 8.74 | 14.85 | +41% | 39No options | $501M |
| VGM Invesco Trust for Investment Grade Municipals | 8.85 | 7.97 | -11% | 37No options | $480M |
| VKQ Invesco Municipal Trust | 8.61 | 8.66 | +1% | 36No options | $476M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about NOAH
Is NOAH undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 7.35 the stock is 94% below the average fair value of 130.16 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of NOAH and what does it mean?
NOAH scores 59 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for NOAH?
130.16 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Noah Holdings Limited report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 24 Nov 2026 (after the close), 39 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does NOAH have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 80 listed contracts with 2,109 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 24% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.